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Wk 7 · 2026

Louisville Cardinals at Syracuse Orange — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY · ACC Network

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LOU by 5.8
ACC · 2-3

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Louisville: +8.6#37
Efficiency margin
Syracuse: +0.4#68
Louisville: 38.6
Offense (pts/100)
Syracuse: 31.7
Louisville: 21.1
Defense (pts/100)
Syracuse: 22.2
Louisville: 63.5
Pace (plays/g)
Syracuse: 80.6
Louisville: 7.79
Yards / play
Syracuse: 5.55
Louisville: 5.60
Yards / play allowed
Syracuse: 5.06
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Louisville: 39.5
Points / game
Syracuse: 32.8
Louisville: 27.7
Points allowed
Syracuse: 24.0
Louisville: 494
Yards / game
Syracuse: 447
Louisville: 413
Yards allowed
Syracuse: 313
Louisville: 257
Pass yds allowed
Syracuse: 168
Louisville: 156
Rush yds allowed
Syracuse: 144
Louisville: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Syracuse: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Louisville form

W 44-20vs FSUL 28-31at NCSUL 27-30vs WAKEW 41-31vs SMUW 59-13vs VILL
2026 season

Syracuse form

L 25-28at UVAW 42-41at CONNL 13-27at PITTL 18-21vs CALW 66-3vs UNH
2026 season

Louisville this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Syracuse this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentLouisvilleSyracuse
SMU
ACC
vs W 41-31 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
NC State
ACC
at L 28-31 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
North Carolina
ACC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Pitt
ACC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat L 13-27 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Louisville leads 11–5 · Syracuse won the last one
16 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.8 points toward Louisville
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20222022-09-03Louisville 7 — 31 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20212021-11-13Syracuse 3 — 41 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20202020-11-20Syracuse 0 — 30 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20192019-11-23Syracuse 34 — 56 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20182018-11-09Louisville 23 — 54 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20172017-11-18Syracuse 10 — 56 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20162016-09-09Louisville 62 — 28 Syracuseat SYRLouisville
20152015-11-07Syracuse 17 — 41 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20142014-10-03Louisville 28 — 6 Syracuseat SYRLouisville
20122012-11-10Louisville 26 — 45 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20112011-10-29Syracuse 10 — 27 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20102010-11-06Louisville 28 — 20 Syracuseat SYRLouisville
20092009-11-14Syracuse 9 — 10 Louisvilleat LOULouisville
20082008-11-01Louisville 21 — 28 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20072007-09-22Syracuse 38 — 35 Louisvilleat LOUSyracuse
20062006-10-21Louisville 28 — 13 Syracuseat SYRLouisville

Louisville leaders 2026 regular season

PassingLincoln Kienholz QB #3107/154, 1534 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT
Briggs Cherry QB #102/2, 24 YDS
RushingIsaac Brown RB #174 CAR, 557 YDS, 4 TD
Keyjuan Brown RB #538 CAR, 367 YDS, 3 TD
Lincoln Kienholz QB #361 CAR, 198 YDS, 8 TD
ReceivingTre Richardson WR #029 REC, 445 YDS, 2 TD
Lawayne McCoy WR #720 REC, 420 YDS, 4 TD
TreyShun Hurry WR #224 REC, 271 YDS
Jaleel Skinner TE #1815 REC, 259 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesT.J. Capers LB #1148
Stanquan Clark LB #643
Kaleb Beasley DB #1043
SacksClev Lubin DL #504
Tyler Thompson DL #32.5
Benjamin Perry LB #232
InterceptionsKaleb Beasley DB #104
Stanquan Clark LB #61

Syracuse leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSteve Angeli QB #957/104, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
Amari Odom QB #1237/48, 398 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
RushingTylik Hill RB #2046 CAR, 287 YDS, 1 TD
Shavane Anderson Jr. RB #2330 CAR, 146 YDS, 3 TD
Ahmad Miller RB #2224 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingUmari Hatcher WR #229 REC, 434 YDS, 5 TD
Justus Ross-Simmons WR #1210 REC, 161 YDS
Daunte Bacheyie TE #197 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD
Darius Johnson WR #612 REC, 109 YDS
Defense
TacklesChris D'Appolonia LB #626
Braheem Long Jr. DB #022
Antoine Deslauriers LB #522
SacksKeyshawn Johnson LB #143.5
Tunmise Adeleye DL #303
Steve Angeli QB #91
InterceptionsRashard Perry DL #921
Davien Kerr DB #31
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.