Wk 12 · 2026
Pittsburgh Panthers at Louisville Cardinals — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 5-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LOU by 0.6
ACC · 3-3
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Pitt is ranked #25 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Pitt form
L 17-21vs UNCW 35-33at VTW 59-0vs BUCKW 27-13vs SYRW 12-7vs UCF
2026 season
Louisville form
W 44-20vs FSUL 28-31at NCSUL 27-30vs WAKEW 41-31vs SMUW 59-13vs VILL
2026 season
Pitt this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Louisville this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Pitt | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Syracuse ACC | vs W 27-13 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| North Carolina ACC | vs L 17-21 preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Georgia Tech ACC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Florida St ACC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs W 44-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Pitt leads 7–6 · Louisville has won the last 2
13 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.8 points toward Pitt
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-27 | Louisville 34 — 27 Pitt | at PITT | Louisville |
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | Pitt 9 — 37 Louisville | at LOU | Louisville |
| 2023 | 2023-10-14 | Louisville 21 — 38 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2022 | 2022-10-22 | Pitt 10 — 24 Louisville | at LOU | Louisville |
| 2020 | 2020-09-26 | Louisville 20 — 23 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2015 | 2015-11-21 | Louisville 34 — 45 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2012 | 2012-10-13 | Louisville 45 — 35 Pitt | at PITT | Louisville |
| 2011 | 2011-11-12 | Pitt 21 — 14 Louisville | at LOU | Pitt |
| 2010 | 2010-10-30 | Louisville 3 — 20 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2009 | 2009-10-02 | Pitt 35 — 10 Louisville | at LOU | Pitt |
| 2008 | 2008-11-08 | Louisville 7 — 41 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2007 | 2007-10-27 | Pitt 17 — 24 Louisville | at LOU | Louisville |
| 2006 | 2006-11-25 | Louisville 48 — 24 Pitt | at PITT | Louisville |
Pitt leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Mason Heintschel QB #6 | 98/148, 1304 YDS, 14 TD, 1 INT |
| Holden Geriner QB #15 | 19/26, 219 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Damon Ferguson Jr. RB #26 | 51 CAR, 270 YDS, 3 TD |
| La'Vell Wright RB #29 | 35 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Mason Heintschel QB #6 | 30 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Cataurus Hicks WR #3 | 15 REC, 315 YDS, 3 TD |
| Bryce Yates WR #4 | 15 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Censere Lee WR #10 | 18 REC, 195 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Carson Kent TE #86 | 12 REC, 157 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Cruce Brookins DB #12 | 26 |
| Josh Guerrier DB #14 | 24 | |
| Jeremiah Marcelin LB #32 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Nick James DL #11 | 2 |
| Isaiah Neal DL #2 | 1.5 | |
| Jaeden Moore DL #8 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Raion Strader DB #6 | 1 |
| Braylan Lovelace LB #0 | 1 | |
| Cameron Lindsey LB #24 | 1 |
Louisville leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Lincoln Kienholz QB #3 | 107/154, 1534 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT |
| Briggs Cherry QB #10 | 2/2, 24 YDS | |
| Rushing | Isaac Brown RB #1 | 74 CAR, 557 YDS, 4 TD |
| Keyjuan Brown RB #5 | 38 CAR, 367 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Lincoln Kienholz QB #3 | 61 CAR, 198 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Receiving | Tre Richardson WR #0 | 29 REC, 445 YDS, 2 TD |
| Lawayne McCoy WR #7 | 20 REC, 420 YDS, 4 TD | |
| TreyShun Hurry WR #2 | 24 REC, 271 YDS | |
| Jaleel Skinner TE #18 | 15 REC, 259 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | T.J. Capers LB #11 | 48 |
| Stanquan Clark LB #6 | 43 | |
| Kaleb Beasley DB #10 | 43 | |
| Sacks | Clev Lubin DL #50 | 4 |
| Tyler Thompson DL #3 | 2.5 | |
| Benjamin Perry LB #23 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Kaleb Beasley DB #10 | 4 |
| Stanquan Clark LB #6 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.