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Wk 11 · 2026

Syracuse Orange at NC State Wolfpack — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Syracuse Orange
ACC · 2-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NCSU by 3.5
NC State Wolfpack
ACC · 3-3

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Syracuse: +0.4#68
Efficiency margin
NC State: +1.5#64
Syracuse: 31.7
Offense (pts/100)
NC State: 33.7
Syracuse: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
NC State: 23.1
Syracuse: 80.6
Pace (plays/g)
NC State: 71.0
Syracuse: 5.55
Yards / play
NC State: 6.00
Syracuse: 5.06
Yards / play allowed
NC State: 6.06
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Syracuse: 32.8
Points / game
NC State: 33.0
Syracuse: 24.0
Points allowed
NC State: 27.7
Syracuse: 447
Yards / game
NC State: 426
Syracuse: 313
Yards allowed
NC State: 364
Syracuse: 168
Pass yds allowed
NC State: 230
Syracuse: 144
Rush yds allowed
NC State: 134
Syracuse: 1.40
Turnovers / game
NC State: 1.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Syracuse form

L 25-28at UVAW 42-41at CONNL 13-27at PITTL 18-21vs CALW 66-3vs UNH
2026 season

NC State form

L 14-38vs WAKEW 31-28vs LOUW 41-31vs APPL 31-35at VANW 73-0vs RICH
2026 season

Syracuse this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

NC State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentSyracuseNC State
California
ACC
vs L 18-21 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Virginia
ACC
at L 25-28 previewat L 8-34 preview
Louisville
ACC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs W 31-28 preview
North Carolina
ACC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, NC State leads 7–4 · Syracuse has won the last 2
11 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.1 points toward NC State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-10-12Syracuse 24 — 17 NC Stateat NCSUSyracuse
20222022-10-15NC State 9 — 24 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20212021-11-20Syracuse 17 — 41 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20202020-11-28NC State 36 — 29 Syracuseat SYRNC State
20192019-10-10Syracuse 10 — 16 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20182018-10-27NC State 41 — 51 Syracuseat SYRSyracuse
20172017-09-30Syracuse 25 — 33 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20162016-11-12NC State 35 — 20 Syracuseat SYRNC State
20152015-11-21Syracuse 29 — 42 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20142014-11-01NC State 24 — 17 Syracuseat SYRNC State
20132013-10-12Syracuse 24 — 10 NC Stateat NCSUSyracuse

Syracuse leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSteve Angeli QB #957/104, 731 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT
Amari Odom QB #1237/48, 398 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
RushingTylik Hill RB #2046 CAR, 287 YDS, 1 TD
Shavane Anderson Jr. RB #2330 CAR, 146 YDS, 3 TD
Ahmad Miller RB #2224 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingUmari Hatcher WR #229 REC, 434 YDS, 5 TD
Justus Ross-Simmons WR #1210 REC, 161 YDS
Daunte Bacheyie TE #197 REC, 120 YDS, 3 TD
Darius Johnson WR #612 REC, 109 YDS
Defense
TacklesChris D'Appolonia LB #626
Braheem Long Jr. DB #022
Antoine Deslauriers LB #522
SacksKeyshawn Johnson LB #143.5
Tunmise Adeleye DL #303
Steve Angeli QB #91
InterceptionsRashard Perry DL #921
Davien Kerr DB #31
full roster and per-player history

NC State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #1198/150, 1266 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Will Wilson QB #108/11, 33 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJayden Scott RB #162 CAR, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Davion Gause RB #746 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
Will Wilson QB #1035 CAR, 166 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson WR #822 REC, 339 YDS, 5 TD
Preston Douglas TE #1919 REC, 241 YDS, 1 TD
Joshisa Trader WR #216 REC, 221 YDS
Davion Gause RB #710 REC, 117 YDS
Defense
TacklesPopo Aguirre LB #042
Brian Nelson II CB #724
Ronnie Royal III S #218
SacksElijah Satchell LB #582
Harvey Dyson III LB #51.5
Chase Bond DE #921
InterceptionsJackson Vick CB #221
Brody Barnhardt S #291
Jaren Sensabaugh CB #141
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.