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Wk 6 · 2026

Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN · ESPN · Disney+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 4-1
52
at
3:30pET
MISS -9.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings opened +10.5 · 1 toward VAN
Ratings differential MISS by 9.2

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Ole Miss: +14.3#17
Efficiency margin
Vanderbilt: +2.7#61
Ole Miss: 40.7
Offense (pts/100)
Vanderbilt: 31.5
Ole Miss: 17.4
Defense (pts/100)
Vanderbilt: 19.8
Ole Miss: 67.0
Pace (plays/g)
Vanderbilt: 65.0
Ole Miss: 6.47
Yards / play
Vanderbilt: 5.36
Ole Miss: 5.62
Yards / play allowed
Vanderbilt: 5.55
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Ole Miss: 38.8
Points / game
Vanderbilt: 24.0
Ole Miss: 28.0
Points allowed
Vanderbilt: 29.5
Ole Miss: 434
Yards / game
Vanderbilt: 348
Ole Miss: 392
Yards allowed
Vanderbilt: 354
Ole Miss: 216
Pass yds allowed
Vanderbilt: 214
Ole Miss: 176
Rush yds allowed
Vanderbilt: 140
Ole Miss: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Vanderbilt: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Ole Miss form

W 52-17at VANL 28-52at FLAW 32-24vs LSUW 41-9vs CLTW 41-38vs LOU
2026 season

Vanderbilt form

L 17-52vs MISSL 14-38at UGAL 15-21at AUBW 35-31vs NCSUW 35-26vs DEL
2026 season

Ole Miss this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Vanderbilt this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentOle MissVanderbilt
Florida
SEC
at L 28-52 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Auburn
SEC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 15-21 preview
Georgia
SEC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat L 14-38 preview
Mississippi St
SEC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Ole Miss leads 12–7 · Ole Miss has won the last 6
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 8.9 points toward Ole Miss
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-10Ole Miss 52 — 17 Vanderbiltat VANOle Miss
20232023-10-28Vanderbilt 7 — 33 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20222022-10-08Ole Miss 52 — 28 Vanderbiltat VANOle Miss
20212021-11-20Vanderbilt 17 — 31 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20202020-10-31Ole Miss 54 — 21 Vanderbiltat VANOle Miss
20192019-10-05Vanderbilt 6 — 31 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20182018-11-17Ole Miss 29 — 36 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20172017-10-14Vanderbilt 35 — 57 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20162016-11-19Ole Miss 17 — 38 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20152015-09-26Vanderbilt 16 — 27 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss
20142014-09-06Ole Miss 41 — 3 Vanderbiltat VANOle Miss
20132013-08-29Ole Miss 39 — 35 Vanderbiltat VANOle Miss
20122012-11-10Vanderbilt 27 — 26 Ole Missat MISSVanderbilt
20112011-09-17Ole Miss 7 — 30 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20102010-09-18Vanderbilt 28 — 14 Ole Missat MISSVanderbilt
20092009-10-03Ole Miss 23 — 7 Vanderbiltat VANOle Miss
20082008-09-20Vanderbilt 23 — 17 Ole Missat MISSVanderbilt
20072007-09-15Ole Miss 17 — 31 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20062006-10-07Vanderbilt 10 — 17 Ole Missat MISSOle Miss

Ole Miss leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTrinidad Chambliss QB #6102/144, 1222 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
Deuce Knight QB #24/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT
RushingKewan Lacy RB #539 CAR, 191 YDS, 4 TD
Trinidad Chambliss QB #628 CAR, 108 YDS, 4 TD
Makhi Frazier RB #2517 CAR, 80 YDS
ReceivingDeuce Alexander WR #127 REC, 429 YDS, 4 TD
Caleb Odom TE #413 REC, 201 YDS, 1 TD
Traylon Ray WR #713 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD
Horatio Fields WR #1115 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesKeaton Thomas LB #1129
Luke Ferrelli LB #1227
Tah'j Butler LB #4924
SacksBlake Purchase DE #31.5
Jordan Renaud DE #11
Kam Franklin DE #51
InterceptionsNick Cull S #291
Jaylon Braxton CB #21

Vanderbilt leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Curtis QB #263/98, 746 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Blaze Berlowitz QB #126/48, 368 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingSedrick Alexander RB #2845 CAR, 200 YDS, 4 TD
Makhilyn Young RB #2234 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Jared Curtis QB #241 CAR, 133 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill WR #028 REC, 474 YDS, 3 TD
Tristen Brown WR #59 REC, 130 YDS
Jayvontay Conner TE #811 REC, 126 YDS
Ja'Cory Thomas WR #66 REC, 78 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Heard S #840
Bryan Longwell LB #1131
Nick Rinaldi LB #2426
SacksNick Rinaldi LB #243.5
CJ Heard S #83
Issa Ouattara DL #52
InterceptionsMiles Capers EDGE #291
Bryce Cowan LB #221
Martel Hight CB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.