Wk 10 · 2026
New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack — Fri, Nov 6
Fri, Nov 6 ·
Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
· CBSSN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 4-1
at
9:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNM by 14.3
Mountain West · 2-3
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
New Mexico form
W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season
Nevada form
W 30-13at UTEPL 33-36vs AFL 20-27at MTSUL 7-20vs MTSTW 49-14vs WKU
2026 season
New Mexico this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Nevada this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | New Mexico | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| UTEP Mountain West | vs W 61-7 preview | at W 30-13 preview |
| Hawai'i Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Air Force Mountain West | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs L 33-36 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Nevada leads 6–3 · New Mexico won the last one
9 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.8 points toward Nevada
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-18 | Nevada 22 — 24 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2023 | 2023-10-28 | New Mexico 24 — 34 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2020 | 2020-11-14 | Nevada 27 — 20 New Mexico | neutral | Nevada |
| 2019 | 2019-11-02 | New Mexico 10 — 21 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2016 | 2016-11-05 | Nevada 26 — 35 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2015 | 2015-10-10 | New Mexico 17 — 35 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2012 | 2012-11-17 | Nevada 31 — 24 New Mexico | at UNM | Nevada |
| 2011 | 2011-10-15 | New Mexico 7 — 49 Nevada | at NEV | Nevada |
| 2007 | 2007-12-22 | Nevada 0 — 23 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico bowl/CFP |
New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Toa Fa'avae QB #13 | 36/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Luke Moga QB #10 | 23/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Scottre Humphrey RB #22 | 70 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kiefer Sibley RB #21 | 38 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Mathews RB #23 | 20 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Bailen George WR #81 | 11 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cade Keith TE #88 | 14 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| DJ Darling WR #14 | 5 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Troy Omeire WR #5 | 6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Mercury Swaim LB #2 | 25 |
| Jaxton Eck LB #6 | 25 | |
| Tavian Combs S #7 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Brett Karhu DE #45 | 4 |
| Darren Agu DE #10 | 3 | |
| Jalen McIver DT #94 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tavian Combs S #7 | 3 |
| Austin Brawley S #0 | 2 | |
| Jahmir Torres CB #1 | 2 |
Nevada leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Carter Jones QB #6 | 42/70, 572 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| AJ Bianco QB #10 | 12/21, 116 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Dominic Kelley RB #0 | 54 CAR, 341 YDS, 3 TD |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 39 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Carter Jones QB #6 | 25 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Gary Givens III WR #7 | 7 REC, 164 YDS |
| Damien Morgan WR #11 | 19 REC, 126 YDS | |
| Donnie Cheers WR #5 | 6 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Herschel Turner RB #1 | 6 REC, 76 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | EJ Smith LB #2 | 55 |
| Dylan LaBarbera EDGE #32 | 39 | |
| Jeremy Naborne-Owens LB #1 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Myles Williams EDGE #92 | 1.5 |
| EJ Smith LB #2 | 1.5 | |
| Logologo Va'a DL #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Bryson Snelling DB #12 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.