Wk 9 · 2026
New Mexico Lobos at San José State Spartans — Sat, Oct 31
Sat, Oct 31 ·
CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
· MW+
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 4-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNM by 17.5
Mountain West · 3-3
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
New Mexico form
W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season
San José St form
L 13-16vs WYOW 20-16at HAWL 10-26vs FRESW 30-20vs CPW 27-21at EMU
2026 season
New Mexico this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
San José St this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | New Mexico | San José St |
|---|---|---|
| UTEP Mountain West | vs W 61-7 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Hawai'i Mountain West | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at W 20-16 preview |
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs L 13-16 preview |
| Air Force Mountain West | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, San José St leads 6–1 · San José St has won the last 4
7 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
10.6 points toward San José St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-03 | New Mexico 28 — 35 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2023 | 2023-10-14 | San José St 52 — 24 New Mexico | at UNM | San José St |
| 2020 | 2020-10-31 | New Mexico 21 — 38 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2019 | 2019-10-04 | New Mexico 21 — 32 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2016 | 2016-10-01 | San José St 41 — 48 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2015 | 2015-10-24 | New Mexico 21 — 31 San José St | at SJSU | San José St |
| 2006 | 2006-12-23 | New Mexico 12 — 20 San José St | neutral | San José St bowl/CFP |
New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Toa Fa'avae QB #13 | 36/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Luke Moga QB #10 | 23/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Scottre Humphrey RB #22 | 70 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kiefer Sibley RB #21 | 38 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Mathews RB #23 | 20 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Bailen George WR #81 | 11 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cade Keith TE #88 | 14 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| DJ Darling WR #14 | 5 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Troy Omeire WR #5 | 6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Mercury Swaim LB #2 | 25 |
| Jaxton Eck LB #6 | 25 | |
| Tavian Combs S #7 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Brett Karhu DE #45 | 4 |
| Darren Agu DE #10 | 3 | |
| Jalen McIver DT #94 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tavian Combs S #7 | 3 |
| Austin Brawley S #0 | 2 | |
| Jahmir Torres CB #1 | 2 |
San José St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Luke Weaver QB #3 | 132/209, 1529 YDS, 11 TD, 6 INT |
| Tama Amisone WR #7 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jabari Bates RB #6 | 120 CAR, 556 YDS, 1 TD |
| Viliami Teu RB #20 | 13 CAR, 86 YDS | |
| Luke Weaver QB #3 | 52 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Carson Clark WR #1 | 37 REC, 405 YDS, 4 TD |
| Cooper Hoch WR #13 | 23 REC, 338 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jerry McClure WR #2 | 24 REC, 226 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Anthony Ivey WR #10 | 10 REC, 185 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dylan Lee LB #4 | 54 |
| Caleb Womack CB #32 | 43 | |
| Naseri Danielson LB #3 | 41 | |
| Sacks | Ethan Powell LB #6 | 2.5 |
| Jayland McGlothen DL #90 | 2.5 | |
| Jeremiah Tuiileila DL #45 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Caleb Womack CB #32 | 2 |
| Dylan Lee LB #4 | 2 | |
| Naseri Danielson LB #3 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.