Wk 13 · 2026
Air Force Falcons at New Mexico Lobos — Sat, Nov 28
Sat, Nov 28 ·
University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM
· CW
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 48 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 4-1
at
4:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNM by 16.1
Mountain West · 4-1
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Air Force form
W 28-7at NIUW 14-9vs NAVYW 36-33at NEVL 32-38vs NDSUW 34-0vs DUQ
2026 season
New Mexico form
W 61-7vs UTEPW 42-18at NMSUL 6-14at OUW 70-7vs MERCW 38-7vs CMU
2026 season
Air Force this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
New Mexico this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Air Force | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| N Dakota St Mountain West | vs L 32-38 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | at W 36-33 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| UNLV Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| UTEP Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs W 61-7 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Air Force leads 12–7 · New Mexico has won the last 2
19 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
9.5 points toward Air Force
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-22 | New Mexico 20 — 3 Air Force | at AF | New Mexico |
| 2024 | 2024-10-12 | Air Force 37 — 52 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2022 | 2022-11-12 | New Mexico 3 — 35 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2021 | 2021-10-02 | Air Force 38 — 10 New Mexico | at UNM | Air Force |
| 2020 | 2020-11-20 | New Mexico 0 — 28 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2019 | 2019-11-23 | Air Force 44 — 22 New Mexico | at UNM | Air Force |
| 2018 | 2018-11-10 | New Mexico 24 — 42 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2017 | 2017-09-30 | Air Force 38 — 56 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2016 | 2016-10-15 | New Mexico 45 — 40 Air Force | neutral | New Mexico |
| 2015 | 2015-11-28 | Air Force 35 — 47 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2014 | 2014-10-18 | New Mexico 31 — 35 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2013 | 2013-11-08 | Air Force 37 — 45 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2012 | 2012-10-20 | New Mexico 23 — 28 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2011 | 2011-10-29 | Air Force 42 — 0 New Mexico | at UNM | Air Force |
| 2010 | 2010-11-13 | New Mexico 23 — 48 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2009 | 2009-09-19 | Air Force 37 — 13 New Mexico | at UNM | Air Force |
| 2008 | 2008-10-23 | New Mexico 10 — 23 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2007 | 2007-10-25 | Air Force 31 — 34 New Mexico | at UNM | New Mexico |
| 2006 | 2006-09-30 | New Mexico 7 — 24 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
Air Force leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 19/38, 296 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Medders QB #5 | 3/7, 47 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 92 CAR, 391 YDS, 7 TD |
| Rocco Conti RB #44 | 35 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kemper Hodges QB #4 | 23 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Simon Kibbee TE #80 | 6 REC, 103 YDS |
| Adam Hrynciw WR #10 | 4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Matt Long WR #3 | 4 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jonah Dawson WR #8 | 3 REC, 39 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 44 |
| Dallas Daley LB #8 | 28 | |
| Max Mustell DB #36 | 15 | |
| Sacks | Max Mustell DB #36 | 2 |
| Jaylin Reese LB #45 | 1.5 | |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Max Mustell DB #36 | 1 |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Korey Johnson DB #2 | 1 |
New Mexico leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Toa Fa'avae QB #13 | 36/63, 639 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Luke Moga QB #10 | 23/38, 248 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Scottre Humphrey RB #22 | 70 CAR, 332 YDS, 6 TD |
| Kiefer Sibley RB #21 | 38 CAR, 205 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Cameron Mathews RB #23 | 20 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Bailen George WR #81 | 11 REC, 218 YDS, 3 TD |
| Cade Keith TE #88 | 14 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| DJ Darling WR #14 | 5 REC, 119 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Troy Omeire WR #5 | 6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Mercury Swaim LB #2 | 25 |
| Jaxton Eck LB #6 | 25 | |
| Tavian Combs S #7 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Brett Karhu DE #45 | 4 |
| Darren Agu DE #10 | 3 | |
| Jalen McIver DT #94 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tavian Combs S #7 | 3 |
| Austin Brawley S #0 | 2 | |
| Jahmir Torres CB #1 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.