Wk 6 · 2026
North Dakota State Bison at UNLV Rebels — Sat, Oct 10
Sat, Oct 10 ·
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
· CW FINAL
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
at
7:00pET
NDSU -2.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings opened +4 · 1.5 toward UNLV
Ratings differential NDSU by 2.9
What is at stake
A Mountain West game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
N Dakota St form
L 7-13at UNLVW 28-0vs WYOW 31-10at SACW 38-32at AFW 38-0vs FOR
2026 season
UNLV form
W 13-7vs NDSUW 39-31vs CALW 38-10at AKRL 6-44at UNTW 21-6at HAW
2026 season
N Dakota St this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
UNLV this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | N Dakota St | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force Mountain West | at W 38-32 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Wyoming Mountain West | vs W 28-0 preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Nevada Mountain West | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico Mountain West | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Hawai'i Mountain West | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at W 21-6 preview |
| N Illinois Mountain West | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| San José St Mountain West | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, UNLV leads 1–0 · UNLV won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.0 points toward UNLV
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-10 | N Dakota St 7 — 13 UNLV | at UNLV | UNLV |
N Dakota St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Nathan Hayes QB #2 | 75/116, 995 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Trey Drake QB #10 | 3/4, 35 YDS | |
| Rushing | DJ Scott RB #7 | 70 CAR, 298 YDS, 4 TD |
| Myles Mitchell RB #5 | 46 CAR, 214 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Nyeoti Punni RB #4 | 26 CAR, 129 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jackson Williams WR #18 | 22 REC, 358 YDS, 1 TD |
| Mekhi Collins WR #15 | 10 REC, 164 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Reis Kessel TE #81 | 13 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jordan McCants WR #11 | 2 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Donovan Woolen LB #1 | 35 |
| Darius Givance S #29 | 27 | |
| Gavin Sell LB #3 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Kelton McCaslin DE #9 | 3 |
| Peder Haugo LB #41 | 1 | |
| Matthew Stenbroten DE #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Marion Moore CB #16 | 2 |
| Keith Williams LB #52 | 1 | |
| Taylen Eady S #14 | 1 |
UNLV leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jackson Arnold QB #11 | 79/133, 1063 YDS, 8 TD |
| Alex Orji QB #1 | 1/5, 9 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Jai'Den Thomas RB #9 | 73 CAR, 383 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jackson Arnold QB #11 | 73 CAR, 270 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Jaylon Glover RB #0 | 16 CAR, 89 YDS | |
| Receiving | Taz Reddicks WR #2 | 14 REC, 272 YDS, 2 TD |
| Kayden McGee WR #6 | 8 REC, 188 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Taeshaun Lyons WR #8 | 11 REC, 120 YDS | |
| Jai'Den Thomas RB #9 | 12 REC, 108 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Cam Santee LB #23 | 37 |
| Jake Pope S #7 | 36 | |
| Tre Fulton DB #10 | 36 | |
| Sacks | Tre Fulton DB #10 | 3.5 |
| Kal-El Togafau DL #44 | 3 | |
| Elias Rudolph LB #91 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Quandarius Keyes DB #5 | 2 |
| Mumu Bin-Wahad DB #1 | 1 | |
| Tre Fulton DB #10 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.