Wk 4 · 2026
Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
· NBC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
ORE -3.5 · total 60.5 DraftKings opened +5.5 · 2 toward USC
Ratings differential ORE by 5.5
What is at stake
A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Oregon is ranked #13 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). USC is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Oregon form
L 15-17vs UCLAW 41-27at USCW 84-0vs PRSTL 31-39at OKSTW 34-27vs BOIS
2026 season
USC form
W 31-23at PSUW 25-21vs WASHL 27-41vs OREW 42-35at RUTGW 49-30vs UL
2026 season
Oregon this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
USC this season
Straight up6-1 · 86% (7 games)
Against the spread2-5 · 29% (7 games)
Over / under4-3 · 57% (7 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | Oregon | USC |
|---|---|---|
| UCLA Big Ten | vs L 15-17 preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Ohio State Big Ten | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Washington Big Ten | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs W 25-21 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Oregon leads 10–4 · Oregon has won the last 5
14 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.4 points toward Oregon
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-26 | Oregon 41 — 27 USC | at USC | Oregon |
| 2025 | 2025-11-22 | USC 27 — 42 Oregon | at ORE | Oregon |
| 2023 | 2023-11-11 | USC 27 — 36 Oregon | at ORE | Oregon |
| 2020 | 2020-12-18 | Oregon 31 — 24 USC | at USC | Oregon |
| 2019 | 2019-11-02 | Oregon 56 — 24 USC | at USC | Oregon |
| 2016 | 2016-11-05 | Oregon 20 — 45 USC | at USC | USC |
| 2015 | 2015-11-21 | USC 28 — 48 Oregon | at ORE | Oregon |
| 2012 | 2012-11-03 | Oregon 62 — 51 USC | at USC | Oregon |
| 2011 | 2011-11-19 | USC 38 — 35 Oregon | at ORE | USC |
| 2010 | 2010-10-30 | Oregon 53 — 32 USC | at USC | Oregon |
| 2009 | 2009-10-31 | USC 20 — 47 Oregon | at ORE | Oregon |
| 2008 | 2008-10-04 | Oregon 10 — 44 USC | at USC | USC |
| 2007 | 2007-10-27 | USC 17 — 24 Oregon | at ORE | Oregon |
| 2006 | 2006-11-11 | Oregon 10 — 35 USC | at USC | USC |
Oregon leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Dante Moore QB #5 | 69/99, 926 YDS, 9 TD |
| Dylan Raiola QB #8 | 30/36, 413 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Rushing | Jordon Davison RB #0 | 49 CAR, 260 YDS, 5 TD |
| Dierre Hill Jr. RB #6 | 42 CAR, 184 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Brandon Smith RB #26 | 16 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Evan Stewart WR #7 | 22 REC, 278 YDS, 3 TD |
| Dakorien Moore WR #1 | 14 REC, 234 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jamari Johnson TE #9 | 11 REC, 176 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jeremiah McClellan WR #3 | 7 REC, 170 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Koi Perich DB #3 | 24 |
| Devon Jackson LB #9 | 23 | |
| Teitum Tuioti LB #44 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Matayo Uiagalelei LB #10 | 3 |
| Bear Alexander DL #1 | 2 | |
| Teitum Tuioti LB #44 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jett Washington DB #24 | 2 |
| Devon Jackson LB #9 | 1 | |
| Matayo Uiagalelei LB #10 | 1 |
USC leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Maiava QB #14 | 131/191, 1744 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT |
| Jonas Williams QB #15 | 12/14, 126 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | King Miller RB #8 | 95 CAR, 493 YDS, 3 TD |
| Waymond Jordan RB #2 | 57 CAR, 265 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Shahn Alston RB #22 | 17 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Kayden Dixon-Wyatt WR #17 | 25 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD |
| Zacharyus Williams WR #0 | 14 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Trent Mosley WR #4 | 13 REC, 255 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Mark Bowman TE #19 | 21 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Christian Pierce S #6 | 35 |
| Deven Bryant LB #17 | 33 | |
| Luke Wafle DE #94 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Kennedy Urlacher S #9 | 2 |
| Alex Graham CB #7 | 2 | |
| Jadyn Ramos DE #95 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Prophet Brown CB #16 | 2 |
| Christian Pierce S #6 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.