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Wk 13 · 2026

USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 6-1
at
TBDET
USC -10.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential UCLA by 5.3
Big Ten · 5-0

What is at stake

Victory Bell. A 295-pound brass locomotive bell that gets repainted cardinal or blue depending on who wins, in a city where the loser has to live with the winner for a year. They play for the Victory Bell. A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. USC is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). UCLA is ranked #21 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

USC: +12.0#24
Efficiency margin
UCLA: +14.9#13
USC: 38.9
Offense (pts/100)
UCLA: 38.6
USC: 17.9
Defense (pts/100)
UCLA: 14.6
USC: 69.3
Pace (plays/g)
UCLA: 66.6
USC: 6.67
Yards / play
UCLA: 6.88
USC: 5.95
Yards / play allowed
UCLA: 4.62
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

USC: 36.4
Points / game
UCLA: 39.2
USC: 25.1
Points allowed
UCLA: 18.0
USC: 462
Yards / game
UCLA: 458
USC: 350
Yards allowed
UCLA: 308
USC: 239
Pass yds allowed
UCLA: 220
USC: 111
Rush yds allowed
UCLA: 88
USC: 0.86
Turnovers / game
UCLA: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

USC form

W 31-23at PSUW 25-21vs WASHL 27-41vs OREW 42-35at RUTGW 49-30vs UL
2026 season

UCLA form

W 17-15at OREW 54-3at MDW 52-38vs PURW 28-10vs SDSUW 45-24at CAL
2026 season

USC this season

Straight up6-1 · 86% (7 games)
Against the spread2-5 · 29% (7 games)
Over / under4-3 · 57% (7 games)

UCLA this season

Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-0-1 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentUSCUCLA
Oregon
Big Ten
vs L 27-41 previewat W 17-15 preview
Wisconsin
Big Ten
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Maryland
Big Ten
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat W 54-3 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, USC leads 13–7 · USC has won the last 2
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.6 points toward USC
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-29UCLA 10 — 29 USCat USCUSC
20242024-11-23USC 19 — 13 UCLAat UCLAUSC
20232023-11-18UCLA 38 — 20 USCat USCUCLA
20222022-11-19USC 48 — 45 UCLAat UCLAUSC
20212021-11-20UCLA 62 — 33 USCat USCUCLA
20202020-12-12USC 43 — 38 UCLAat UCLAUSC
20192019-11-23UCLA 35 — 52 USCat USCUSC
20182018-11-17USC 27 — 34 UCLAat UCLAUCLA
20172017-11-18UCLA 23 — 28 USCat USCUSC
20162016-11-19USC 36 — 14 UCLAat UCLAUSC
20152015-11-28UCLA 21 — 40 USCat USCUSC
20142014-11-22USC 20 — 38 UCLAat UCLAUCLA
20132013-11-30UCLA 35 — 14 USCat USCUCLA
20122012-11-17USC 28 — 38 UCLAat UCLAUCLA
20112011-11-26UCLA 0 — 50 USCat USCUSC
20102010-12-04USC 28 — 14 UCLAat UCLAUSC
20092009-11-28UCLA 7 — 28 USCat USCUSC
20082008-12-06USC 28 — 7 UCLAat UCLAUSC
20072007-12-01UCLA 7 — 24 USCat USCUSC
20062006-12-02USC 9 — 13 UCLAat UCLAUCLA

USC leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Maiava QB #14131/191, 1744 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT
Jonas Williams QB #1512/14, 126 YDS, 1 INT
RushingKing Miller RB #895 CAR, 493 YDS, 3 TD
Waymond Jordan RB #257 CAR, 265 YDS, 2 TD
Shahn Alston RB #2217 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKayden Dixon-Wyatt WR #1725 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD
Zacharyus Williams WR #014 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD
Trent Mosley WR #413 REC, 255 YDS, 4 TD
Mark Bowman TE #1921 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesChristian Pierce S #635
Deven Bryant LB #1733
Luke Wafle DE #9422
SacksKennedy Urlacher S #92
Alex Graham CB #72
Jadyn Ramos DE #952
InterceptionsProphet Brown CB #162
Christian Pierce S #61

UCLA leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNico Iamaleava QB #962/99, 820 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Madden Iamaleava QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingWayne Knight RB #349 CAR, 445 YDS, 9 TD
Anthony Woods RB #636 CAR, 269 YDS, 4 TD
Jaivian Thomas RB #2128 CAR, 155 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingSemaj Morgan WR #414 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD
Brian Rowe Jr. WR #211 REC, 163 YDS
Wayne Knight RB #38 REC, 88 YDS
Mikey Matthews WR #74 REC, 88 YDS
Defense
TacklesSammy Omosigho LB #1038
Jalen Woods LB #933
Ta'Shawn James DB #2724
SacksSammy Omosigho LB #103
Sahir West DL #152
Scott Taylor LB #201.5
InterceptionsTa'Shawn James DB #273
Jalen Woods LB #91
Rodrick Pleasant DB #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.