Wk 8 · 2026
Pittsburgh Panthers at Miami Hurricanes — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Weather
84° / 77° rain showers
48% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
ACC · 5-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MIA by 16.8
ACC · 5-0
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Pitt is ranked #25 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Miami is ranked #4 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Pitt form
L 17-21vs UNCW 35-33at VTW 59-0vs BUCKW 27-13vs SYRW 12-7vs UCF
2026 season
Miami form
W 41-13at CLEMW 52-3vs CMUW 33-20at WAKEW 77-7vs FAMUW 45-6at STAN
2026 season
Pitt this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Miami this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Pitt | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech ACC | at W 35-33 preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| North Carolina ACC | vs L 17-21 preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Boston College ACC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Florida St ACC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Miami leads 9–3 · Miami won the last one
12 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.5 points toward Miami
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-29 | Miami 38 — 7 Pitt | at PITT | Miami |
| 2022 | 2022-11-26 | Pitt 42 — 16 Miami | at MIA | Pitt |
| 2021 | 2021-10-30 | Miami 38 — 34 Pitt | at PITT | Miami |
| 2020 | 2020-10-17 | Pitt 19 — 31 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2019 | 2019-10-26 | Miami 16 — 12 Pitt | at PITT | Miami |
| 2018 | 2018-11-24 | Pitt 3 — 24 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2017 | 2017-11-24 | Miami 14 — 24 Pitt | at PITT | Pitt |
| 2016 | 2016-11-05 | Pitt 28 — 51 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2015 | 2015-11-27 | Miami 29 — 24 Pitt | at PITT | Miami |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | Pitt 35 — 23 Miami | at MIA | Pitt |
| 2013 | 2013-11-29 | Miami 41 — 31 Pitt | at PITT | Miami |
| 2010 | 2010-09-23 | Miami 31 — 3 Pitt | at PITT | Miami |
Pitt leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Mason Heintschel QB #6 | 98/148, 1304 YDS, 14 TD, 1 INT |
| Holden Geriner QB #15 | 19/26, 219 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Damon Ferguson Jr. RB #26 | 51 CAR, 270 YDS, 3 TD |
| La'Vell Wright RB #29 | 35 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Mason Heintschel QB #6 | 30 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Cataurus Hicks WR #3 | 15 REC, 315 YDS, 3 TD |
| Bryce Yates WR #4 | 15 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Censere Lee WR #10 | 18 REC, 195 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Carson Kent TE #86 | 12 REC, 157 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Cruce Brookins DB #12 | 26 |
| Josh Guerrier DB #14 | 24 | |
| Jeremiah Marcelin LB #32 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Nick James DL #11 | 2 |
| Isaiah Neal DL #2 | 1.5 | |
| Jaeden Moore DL #8 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Raion Strader DB #6 | 1 |
| Braylan Lovelace LB #0 | 1 | |
| Cameron Lindsey LB #24 | 1 |
Miami leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Darian Mensah QB #10 | 112/133, 1438 YDS, 15 TD |
| Luke Nickel QB #5 | 15/20, 204 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Mark Fletcher Jr. RB #4 | 52 CAR, 307 YDS, 5 TD |
| Javian Mallory RB #21 | 39 CAR, 289 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Chris Wheatley-Humphrey RB #25 | 11 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Malachi Toney WR #1 | 39 REC, 604 YDS, 6 TD |
| Cooper Barkate WR #18 | 19 REC, 241 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Elija Lofton TE #9 | 12 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Daylyn Upshaw WR #7 | 13 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Omar Thornton DB #0 | 21 |
| Marquise Lightfoot DL #8 | 20 | |
| Mohamed Toure LB #1 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Marquise Lightfoot DL #8 | 5 |
| Damon Wilson II DL #10 | 3.5 | |
| Omar Thornton DB #0 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Ethan O'Connor DB #24 | 1 |
| Brody Jennings DB #15 | 1 | |
| JJ Dunnigan DB #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.