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Wk 8 · 2026

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Northwestern Wildcats — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Ryan Field, Evanston, IL

Weather

56° / 49° overcast
19% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential NU by 19.8
Big Ten · 4-1

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Rutgers: -3.7#86
Efficiency margin
Northwestern: +13.7#20
Rutgers: 31.8
Offense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 37.8
Rutgers: 26.6
Defense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 15.1
Rutgers: 65.4
Pace (plays/g)
Northwestern: 61.8
Rutgers: 6.05
Yards / play
Northwestern: 7.08
Rutgers: 6.72
Yards / play allowed
Northwestern: 5.29
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Rutgers: 30.0
Points / game
Northwestern: 35.4
Rutgers: 32.2
Points allowed
Northwestern: 16.2
Rutgers: 396
Yards / game
Northwestern: 437
Rutgers: 407
Yards allowed
Northwestern: 381
Rutgers: 208
Pass yds allowed
Northwestern: 233
Rutgers: 199
Rush yds allowed
Northwestern: 147
Rutgers: 2.00
Turnovers / game
Northwestern: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Rutgers form

L 15-47vs IUW 58-7vs HOWL 35-42vs USCL 21-28at BCL 21-37vs MASS
2026 season

Northwestern form

W 45-14vs BALLW 34-13vs PSUL 23-29at IUW 41-7vs COLOW 34-18vs SDST
2026 season

Rutgers this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)

Northwestern this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentRutgersNorthwestern
Indiana
Big Ten
vs L 15-47 previewat L 23-29 preview
Penn State
Big Ten
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs W 34-13 preview
Michigan St
Big Ten
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Northwestern leads 2–1 · Rutgers won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.0 points either way
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-09-03Northwestern 7 — 24 Rutgersat RUTGRutgers
20212021-10-16Rutgers 7 — 21 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20182018-10-20Northwestern 18 — 15 Rutgersat RUTGNorthwestern

Rutgers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDylan Lonergan QB #1251/92, 775 YDS, 7 TD, 5 INT
AJ Surace QB #1033/53, 475 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
RushingAntwan Raymond RB #389 CAR, 469 YDS, 4 TD
Clay Thevenin RB #942 CAR, 180 YDS, 3 TD
Aiden Gibson RB #3211 CAR, 35 YDS
ReceivingKJ Duff WR #833 REC, 628 YDS, 7 TD
Ben Black III WR #29 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD
Jourdin Houston WR #415 REC, 169 YDS
Antwan Raymond RB #39 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesChris Joines DB #2025
Bradlee Jones DB #525
Jesse Ofurie DB #1623
SacksMoses Walker LB #21.5
Rondo Porter DL #991.5
Zaire Angoy DL #551
InterceptionsMoses Walker LB #22
Bradlee Jones DB #52

Northwestern leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAidan Chiles QB #063/89, 900 YDS, 6 TD
RushingCaleb Komolafe RB #552 CAR, 290 YDS, 2 TD
Joseph Himon II RB #620 CAR, 277 YDS, 3 TD
Gavin Sawchuk RB #2733 CAR, 170 YDS
ReceivingGriffin Wilde WR #1716 REC, 281 YDS, 2 TD
Luke Dehnicke TE #8411 REC, 208 YDS
Alex Honig TE #867 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
Drew Wagner WR #1912 REC, 97 YDS
Defense
TacklesRobert Fitzgerald DB #642
Kobie McKinzie LB #232
Braydon Brus LB #3330
SacksBraydon Brus LB #333
Kobie McKinzie LB #21
Jamaal Johnson DL #241
InterceptionsOre Adeyi DB #71
Robert Fitzgerald DB #61
Braydon Brus LB #331
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.