Wk 12 · 2026
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 1-4
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential PSU by 17.0
Big Ten · 3-3
What is at stake
A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Rutgers form
L 15-47vs IUW 58-7vs HOWL 35-42vs USCL 21-28at BCL 21-37vs MASS
2026 season
Penn State form
L 23-31vs USCL 13-34at NUL 20-24vs WISW 55-13vs BUFW 27-9at TEM
2026 season
Rutgers this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Penn State this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Rutgers | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| USC Big Ten | vs L 35-42 preview | vs L 23-31 preview |
| Maryland Big Ten | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Northwestern Big Ten | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at L 13-34 preview |
| Michigan Big Ten | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Wisconsin Big Ten | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs L 20-24 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Penn State leads 11–0 · Penn State has won the last 11
11 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
22.2 points toward Penn State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-29 | Penn State 40 — 36 Rutgers | at RUTG | Penn State |
| 2023 | 2023-11-18 | Rutgers 6 — 27 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2022 | 2022-11-19 | Penn State 55 — 10 Rutgers | at RUTG | Penn State |
| 2021 | 2021-11-20 | Rutgers 0 — 28 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2020 | 2020-12-05 | Penn State 23 — 7 Rutgers | at RUTG | Penn State |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | Rutgers 6 — 27 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2018 | 2018-11-17 | Penn State 20 — 7 Rutgers | at RUTG | Penn State |
| 2017 | 2017-11-11 | Rutgers 6 — 35 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2016 | 2016-11-19 | Penn State 39 — 0 Rutgers | at RUTG | Penn State |
| 2015 | 2015-09-19 | Rutgers 3 — 28 Penn State | at PSU | Penn State |
| 2014 | 2014-09-13 | Penn State 13 — 10 Rutgers | at RUTG | Penn State |
Rutgers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Dylan Lonergan QB #12 | 51/92, 775 YDS, 7 TD, 5 INT |
| AJ Surace QB #10 | 33/53, 475 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Antwan Raymond RB #3 | 89 CAR, 469 YDS, 4 TD |
| Clay Thevenin RB #9 | 42 CAR, 180 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Aiden Gibson RB #32 | 11 CAR, 35 YDS | |
| Receiving | KJ Duff WR #8 | 33 REC, 628 YDS, 7 TD |
| Ben Black III WR #2 | 9 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jourdin Houston WR #4 | 15 REC, 169 YDS | |
| Antwan Raymond RB #3 | 9 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Chris Joines DB #20 | 25 |
| Bradlee Jones DB #5 | 25 | |
| Jesse Ofurie DB #16 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Moses Walker LB #2 | 1.5 |
| Rondo Porter DL #99 | 1.5 | |
| Zaire Angoy DL #55 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Moses Walker LB #2 | 2 |
| Bradlee Jones DB #5 | 2 |
Penn State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Rocco Becht QB #3 | 83/134, 1108 YDS, 10 TD, 3 INT |
| Alex Manske QB #7 | 9/14, 102 YDS | |
| Rushing | James Peoples RB #1 | 45 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD |
| Carson Hansen RB #21 | 43 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Quinton Martin Jr. RB #25 | 29 CAR, 158 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Koby Howard WR #6 | 12 REC, 344 YDS, 2 TD |
| Chase Sowell WR #0 | 19 REC, 264 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Benjamin Brahmer TE #18 | 16 REC, 178 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Brett Eskildsen WR #4 | 15 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tony Rojas LB #13 | 34 |
| Kooper Ebel LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cael Brezina LB #9 | 20 | |
| Sacks | Tony Rojas LB #13 | 3 |
| Kooper Ebel LB #8 | 1 | |
| Caleb Bacon LB #10 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Tony Rojas LB #13 | 2 |
| Daryus Dixson CB #5 | 1 | |
| Josiah Zayas CB #17 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.