Wk 2 · 2026
Sacramento State Hornets at Fresno State Bulldogs — Sat, Sep 12
Sat, Sep 12 ·
Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA
· CBSSN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
10:30pET
FRES -17.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings opened -18.5 · 1 toward SAC
Ratings differential FRES by 27.3
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Sacramento St form
L 10-38at BGSUL 6-35vs MASSL 10-31vs NDSUL 3-49at FRESW 52-0vs MVSU
2026 season
Fresno St form
L 31-38vs BOISW 26-6at WSUW 38-24vs RICEW 26-10at SJSUW 49-3vs SAC
2026 season
Sacramento St this season
Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Fresno St this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Fresno St leads 5–0 · Fresno St has won the last 5
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
25.0 points toward Fresno St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-12 | Sacramento St 3 — 49 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2024 | 2024-09-07 | Sacramento St 30 — 46 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2019 | 2019-09-21 | Sacramento St 20 — 34 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2016 | 2016-09-10 | Sacramento St 3 — 31 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
| 2007 | 2007-09-01 | Sacramento St 3 — 24 Fresno St | at FRES | Fresno St |
Sacramento St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jackson Sharman QB #8 | 82/142, 856 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT |
| Carson Conklin QB #17 | 25/46, 222 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Isaiah Ene RB #22 | 29 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD |
| Daniel Swinney RB #0 | 28 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Cincere Rhaney RB #3 | 30 CAR, 120 YDS | |
| Receiving | Matt Coleman WR #2 | 26 REC, 369 YDS, 3 TD |
| Onterrio Smith Jr. WR #12 | 22 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Raiden Brown WR #5 | 16 REC, 149 YDS | |
| Jordan Williams TE #16 | 15 REC, 122 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Boogsie Silvera S #1 | 33 |
| Amari Wallace S #3 | 24 | |
| Alex Rocha LB #33 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Fata Puloka LB #18 | 1.5 |
| Nick Dimitris DL #5 | 1 | |
| Alex Rocha LB #33 | 1 |
Fresno St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 91/137, 1034 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Jordan Malau'ulu WR #10 | 1/1, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 42 CAR, 286 YDS, 1 TD |
| Bryson Donelson RB #6 | 48 CAR, 206 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 35 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Josiah Freeman WR #5 | 25 REC, 322 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ezekiel Avit WR #0 | 13 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jahlil McClain WR #1 | 12 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 12 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | K'vion Thunderbird LB #10 | 39 |
| Simeon Harris DB #5 | 25 | |
| Gerayas Grimes DB #27 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dylan Hampsten DL #11 | 3 |
| Tytus Khajavi LB #35 | 2 | |
| Deijon Laffitte DL #0 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Simeon Harris DB #5 | 3 |
| Ethan Tierney DB #4 | 2 | |
| Justin Johnson LB #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.