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Wk 13 · 2026

NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NC State Wolfpack
ACC · 3-3
at
TBDET
NCSU -1.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential UNC by 5.0
North Carolina Tar Heels
ACC · 3-2

What is at stake

Textile Bowl. Twenty-five miles apart in the Research Triangle, playing for a trophy that dates to the states textile industry and for a full year of arguing about which school is the real North Carolina. They play for the Textile Bowl trophy. A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

NC State: +1.5#64
Efficiency margin
North Carolina: +4.1#51
NC State: 33.7
Offense (pts/100)
North Carolina: 30.9
NC State: 23.1
Defense (pts/100)
North Carolina: 17.8
NC State: 71.0
Pace (plays/g)
North Carolina: 56.2
NC State: 6.00
Yards / play
North Carolina: 5.88
NC State: 6.06
Yards / play allowed
North Carolina: 4.91
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

NC State: 33.0
Points / game
North Carolina: 23.4
NC State: 27.7
Points allowed
North Carolina: 19.0
NC State: 426
Yards / game
North Carolina: 331
NC State: 364
Yards allowed
North Carolina: 356
NC State: 230
Pass yds allowed
North Carolina: 204
NC State: 134
Rush yds allowed
North Carolina: 152
NC State: 1.50
Turnovers / game
North Carolina: 1.60
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

NC State form

L 14-38vs WAKEW 31-28vs LOUW 41-31vs APPL 31-35at VANW 73-0vs RICH
2026 season

North Carolina form

W 21-17at PITTL 26-37vs NDL 20-28at CLEMW 35-3vs ETSUW 15-10at TCU
2026 season

NC State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

North Carolina this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentNC StateNorth Carolina
Virginia
ACC
at L 8-34 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Louisville
ACC
vs W 31-28 previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Duke
ACC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Syracuse
ACC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, NC State leads 14–6 · NC State has won the last 5
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.0 points toward NC State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-29North Carolina 19 — 42 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20242024-11-30NC State 35 — 30 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20232023-11-25North Carolina 20 — 39 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20222022-11-25NC State 30 — 27 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20212021-11-26North Carolina 30 — 34 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20202020-10-24NC State 21 — 48 North Carolinaat UNCNorth Carolina
20192019-11-30North Carolina 41 — 10 NC Stateat NCSUNorth Carolina
20182018-11-24NC State 34 — 28 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20172017-11-25North Carolina 21 — 33 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20162016-11-25NC State 28 — 21 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20152015-11-28North Carolina 45 — 34 NC Stateat NCSUNorth Carolina
20142014-11-29NC State 35 — 7 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20132013-11-02North Carolina 27 — 19 NC Stateat NCSUNorth Carolina
20122012-10-27NC State 35 — 43 North Carolinaat UNCNorth Carolina
20112011-11-05North Carolina 0 — 13 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20102010-11-20NC State 29 — 25 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20092009-11-28North Carolina 27 — 28 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20082008-11-22NC State 41 — 10 North Carolinaat UNCNC State
20072007-11-10North Carolina 27 — 31 NC Stateat NCSUNC State
20062006-11-18NC State 9 — 23 North Carolinaat UNCNorth Carolina

NC State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCJ Bailey QB #1198/150, 1266 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Will Wilson QB #108/11, 33 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJayden Scott RB #162 CAR, 358 YDS, 4 TD
Davion Gause RB #746 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
Will Wilson QB #1035 CAR, 166 YDS, 6 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson WR #822 REC, 339 YDS, 5 TD
Preston Douglas TE #1919 REC, 241 YDS, 1 TD
Joshisa Trader WR #216 REC, 221 YDS
Davion Gause RB #710 REC, 117 YDS
Defense
TacklesPopo Aguirre LB #042
Brian Nelson II CB #724
Ronnie Royal III S #218
SacksElijah Satchell LB #582
Harvey Dyson III LB #51.5
Chase Bond DE #921
InterceptionsJackson Vick CB #221
Brody Barnhardt S #291
Jaren Sensabaugh CB #141
full roster and per-player history

North Carolina leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBilly Edwards Jr. QB #961/106, 820 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
Miles O'Neill QB #83/6, 22 YDS
RushingBenjamin Hall RB #743 CAR, 251 YDS
Demon June RB #031 CAR, 128 YDS, 4 TD
Jaylen McGill RB #2717 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJordan Shipp WR #120 REC, 273 YDS
Jelani Thurman TE #4516 REC, 233 YDS, 3 TD
C.J. Sadler WR #145 REC, 87 YDS
Trech Kekahuna WR #26 REC, 71 YDS
Defense
TacklesDerek McDonald LB #1536
Peyton Seelmann LB #1031
Leroy Jackson DL #9123
SacksXavier Lewis DL #906
Jaylen Harvey DL #112
Melkart Abou Jaoude DL #91
InterceptionsGreg Smith DB #12
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.