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Wk 12 · 2026

UCLA Bruins at Michigan Wolverines — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 5-0
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UCLA by 3.7
Big Ten · 3-2

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. UCLA is ranked #21 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UCLA: +14.9#13
Efficiency margin
Michigan: +8.8#36
UCLA: 38.6
Offense (pts/100)
Michigan: 32.0
UCLA: 14.6
Defense (pts/100)
Michigan: 14.2
UCLA: 66.6
Pace (plays/g)
Michigan: 58.6
UCLA: 6.88
Yards / play
Michigan: 5.39
UCLA: 4.62
Yards / play allowed
Michigan: 4.02
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UCLA: 39.2
Points / game
Michigan: 23.0
UCLA: 18.0
Points allowed
Michigan: 15.8
UCLA: 458
Yards / game
Michigan: 316
UCLA: 308
Yards allowed
Michigan: 241
UCLA: 220
Pass yds allowed
Michigan: 147
UCLA: 88
Rush yds allowed
Michigan: 95
UCLA: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Michigan: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UCLA form

W 17-15at OREW 54-3at MDW 52-38vs PURW 28-10vs SDSUW 45-24at CAL
2026 season

Michigan form

L 14-20at MINNL 19-20vs IOWAW 52-17vs UTEPW 17-10vs OUW 13-12vs WMU
2026 season

UCLA this season

Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-0-1 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Michigan this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentUCLAMichigan
Oregon
Big Ten
at W 17-15 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Michigan St
Big Ten
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Minnesota
Big Ten
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat L 14-20 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

UCLA leaders 2026 regular season

PassingNico Iamaleava QB #962/99, 820 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
Madden Iamaleava QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingWayne Knight RB #349 CAR, 445 YDS, 9 TD
Anthony Woods RB #636 CAR, 269 YDS, 4 TD
Jaivian Thomas RB #2128 CAR, 155 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingSemaj Morgan WR #414 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD
Brian Rowe Jr. WR #211 REC, 163 YDS
Wayne Knight RB #38 REC, 88 YDS
Mikey Matthews WR #74 REC, 88 YDS
Defense
TacklesSammy Omosigho LB #1038
Jalen Woods LB #933
Ta'Shawn James DB #2724
SacksSammy Omosigho LB #103
Sahir West DL #152
Scott Taylor LB #201.5
InterceptionsTa'Shawn James DB #273
Jalen Woods LB #91
Rodrick Pleasant DB #21

Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBryce Underwood QB #1967/113, 881 YDS, 5 TD, 4 INT
Tommy Carr QB #142/2, 23 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJordan Marshall RB #2355 CAR, 244 YDS, 3 TD
Bryce Underwood QB #1957 CAR, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Savion Hiter RB #546 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJJ Buchanan WR #624 REC, 446 YDS, 4 TD
Andrew Marsh WR #325 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD
Savion Hiter RB #55 REC, 59 YDS
Hogan Hansen TE #805 REC, 35 YDS
Defense
TacklesTroy Bowles LB #1840
Jyaire Hill CB #025
Nathaniel Staehling LB #4425
SacksJohn Henry Daley DE #903
Dom Nichols DE #82.5
Nate Marshall DE #942
InterceptionsJonah Lea'ea DT #911
Smith Snowden CB #31
Jyaire Hill CB #01
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.