Wk 8 · 2026
Michigan State Spartans at UCLA Bruins — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
Weather
84° / 71° clear
0% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Big Ten · 2-4
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UCLA by 15.3
#21 UCLA Bruins
Big Ten · 5-0
What is at stake
A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. UCLA is ranked #21 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Michigan St form
L 37-38vs ILLL 3-31at WISL 13-31vs NEBL 10-27at NDW 35-7vs EMU
2026 season
UCLA form
W 17-15at OREW 54-3at MDW 52-38vs PURW 28-10vs SDSUW 45-24at CAL
2026 season
Michigan St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-2-1 · 60% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
UCLA this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-0-1 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Michigan St | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Big Ten | at L 3-31 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Illinois Big Ten | vs L 37-38 preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Michigan Big Ten | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Oregon Big Ten | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at W 17-15 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, UCLA leads 1–0 · UCLA won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
25.0 points toward UCLA
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-11 | UCLA 38 — 13 Michigan St | at MSU | UCLA |
Michigan St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Alessio Milivojevic QB #11 | 80/129, 851 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT |
| Cam Fancher QB #2 | 8/11, 59 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Cam Edwards RB #0 | 64 CAR, 304 YDS, 3 TD |
| Jaziun Patterson RB #4 | 44 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Marvis Parrish RB #21 | 29 CAR, 89 YDS | |
| Receiving | Rodney Bullard Jr. WR #3 | 15 REC, 206 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jayden Savoury TE #31 | 17 REC, 179 YDS | |
| Chrishon McCray WR #13 | 18 REC, 150 YDS | |
| Fredrick Moore WR #6 | 14 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Devin Vaught S #2 | 33 |
| Dion Crawford LB #18 | 23 | |
| Brady Pretzlaff LB #45 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Eli Coenen DL #96 | 3 |
| Isaac Smith EDGE #13 | 1 | |
| Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #23 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #23 | 1 |
UCLA leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Nico Iamaleava QB #9 | 62/99, 820 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Madden Iamaleava QB #10 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Wayne Knight RB #3 | 49 CAR, 445 YDS, 9 TD |
| Anthony Woods RB #6 | 36 CAR, 269 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jaivian Thomas RB #21 | 28 CAR, 155 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Semaj Morgan WR #4 | 14 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD |
| Brian Rowe Jr. WR #2 | 11 REC, 163 YDS | |
| Wayne Knight RB #3 | 8 REC, 88 YDS | |
| Mikey Matthews WR #7 | 4 REC, 88 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Sammy Omosigho LB #10 | 38 |
| Jalen Woods LB #9 | 33 | |
| Ta'Shawn James DB #27 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Sammy Omosigho LB #10 | 3 |
| Sahir West DL #15 | 2 | |
| Scott Taylor LB #20 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Ta'Shawn James DB #27 | 3 |
| Jalen Woods LB #9 | 1 | |
| Rodrick Pleasant DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.