Wk 7 · 2026
Colorado State Rams at Texas State Bobcats — Thu, Oct 15
Thu, Oct 15 ·
UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX
· CBSSN
Pac-12 · 2-3
at
8:00pET
TXST -11.5 · total 67.5 DraftKings opened -12.5 · 1 toward CSU
Ratings differential TXST by 7.8
Pac-12 · 2-3
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Colorado St form
L 26-56vs ORSTL 45-59at UTSAL 23-41vs BYUW 58-24vs SUUW 35-13vs WYO
2026 season
Texas St form
L 29-31at SDSUW 63-10vs UIWW 49-35vs UNTL 26-31vs UTSAL 7-59at TEX
2026 season
Colorado St this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Texas St this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Colorado St | Texas St |
|---|---|---|
| UTSA American | at L 45-59 preview | vs L 26-31 preview |
| Oregon St Pac-12 | vs L 26-56 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| San Diego St Pac-12 | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at L 29-31 preview |
| Utah State Pac-12 | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Boise St Pac-12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Washington St Pac-12 | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Fresno St Pac-12 | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
Colorado St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | K'saan Farrar QB #2 | 63/103, 649 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT |
| Hauss Hejny QB #8 | 47/73, 619 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Mel Brown RB | 41 CAR, 409 YDS, 3 TD |
| Durell Robinson RB #11 | 62 CAR, 266 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Hauss Hejny QB #8 | 13 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | RJ Vick WR #0 | 24 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD |
| Terrence Smith Jr. WR #15 | 17 REC, 242 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Cedric Ross RB #22 | 7 REC, 178 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jackson Harper WR #6 | 16 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Oumar Diomande LB #32 | 51 |
| Tre'Shawn Moore S #15 | 37 | |
| Jaseim Mitchell LB #23 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Jack Moran DL #77 | 1.5 |
| Elijah Brown CB #6 | 1.5 | |
| Stephon Wright DL #9 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | CJ Blocker CB #17 | 3 |
| Oumar Diomande LB #32 | 2 | |
| D'Angelo Hagans Jr. CB #5 | 1 |
Texas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Brad Jackson QB #8 | 92/138, 1226 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT |
| Gavin Parkhurst QB #17 | 8/9, 114 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Torrance Burgess Jr. RB #4 | 84 CAR, 614 YDS, 1 TD |
| Davian Jackson RB #6 | 64 CAR, 315 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Brad Jackson QB #8 | 51 CAR, 186 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Chris Dawn Jr. WR #1 | 24 REC, 304 YDS, 4 TD |
| Beau Sparks WR #11 | 17 REC, 244 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Kylen Evans WR #2 | 11 REC, 199 YDS | |
| Zechariah Sample WR #3 | 7 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jayden Bradley DB #9 | 37 |
| Ayden Jones LB #15 | 30 | |
| Terrence Cooks II LB #16 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Tymere Jackson DL #56 | 2.5 |
| J.P. Deeter DL #91 | 0.5 | |
| Jo'Laison Landry DL #6 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Ryan Nolan OL #56 | 1 |
| Michael Patterson III DB #19 | 1 | |
| Trez Moore DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.