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Wk 11 · 2026

Washington Huskies at Michigan State Spartans — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 3-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MSU by 0.3

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Washington: +4.1#52
Efficiency margin
Michigan St: +2.0#63
Washington: 32.3
Offense (pts/100)
Michigan St: 30.3
Washington: 19.2
Defense (pts/100)
Michigan St: 19.3
Washington: 65.2
Pace (plays/g)
Michigan St: 65.3
Washington: 5.68
Yards / play
Michigan St: 4.77
Washington: 5.26
Yards / play allowed
Michigan St: 5.66
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Washington: 26.2
Points / game
Michigan St: 21.3
Washington: 22.2
Points allowed
Michigan St: 25.7
Washington: 370
Yards / game
Michigan St: 312
Washington: 330
Yards allowed
Michigan St: 340
Washington: 194
Pass yds allowed
Michigan St: 198
Washington: 137
Rush yds allowed
Michigan St: 142
Washington: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Michigan St: 1.17
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Washington form

L 24-41vs IOWAL 21-25at USCL 24-27vs MINNW 48-16vs EWUW 16-14vs USU
2026 season

Michigan St form

L 37-38vs ILLL 3-31at WISL 13-31vs NEBL 10-27at NDW 35-7vs EMU
2026 season

Washington this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Michigan St this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-2-1 · 60% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentWashingtonMichigan St
Nebraska
Big Ten
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs L 13-31 preview
Oregon
Big Ten
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Washington leads 2–0 · Washington has won the last 2
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 22.5 points toward Washington
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-09-16Washington 41 — 7 Michigan Stat MSUWashington
20222022-09-17Michigan St 28 — 39 Washingtonat WASHWashington

Washington leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDemond Williams Jr. QB #1116/174, 1396 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
Elijah Brown QB #730/42, 276 YDS, 4 TD
RushingBrian Bonner Jr. RB #3451 CAR, 232 YDS
Demond Williams Jr. QB #164 CAR, 183 YDS, 2 TD
Trey Cooley RB #2225 CAR, 52 YDS
ReceivingDezmen Roebuck WR #243 REC, 387 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Lawson WR #826 REC, 380 YDS, 2 TD
Baron Naone TE #8517 REC, 251 YDS, 2 TD
Rashid Williams WR #316 REC, 250 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesAlex McLaughlin S #744
Jacob Manu LB #935
Dylan Robinson CB #627
SacksJacob Manu LB #92.5
Alex McLaughlin S #72.5
Russell Davis II EDGE #991
InterceptionsAlex McLaughlin S #72
Taariq Al-Uqdah LB #01
Rahshawn Clark CB #21

Michigan St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAlessio Milivojevic QB #1180/129, 851 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
Cam Fancher QB #28/11, 59 YDS, 1 INT
RushingCam Edwards RB #064 CAR, 304 YDS, 3 TD
Jaziun Patterson RB #444 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD
Marvis Parrish RB #2129 CAR, 89 YDS
ReceivingRodney Bullard Jr. WR #315 REC, 206 YDS, 1 TD
Jayden Savoury TE #3117 REC, 179 YDS
Chrishon McCray WR #1318 REC, 150 YDS
Fredrick Moore WR #614 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDevin Vaught S #233
Dion Crawford LB #1823
Brady Pretzlaff LB #4523
SacksEli Coenen DL #963
Isaac Smith EDGE #131
Kenny Soares Jr. EDGE #231
InterceptionsKenny Soares Jr. EDGE #231
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.