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Wk 6 · 2026

Charlotte 49ers at North Texas Mean Green — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · DATCU Stadium, Denton, TX · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 0-6
10
at
3:30pET
UNT -27.5 · total 57.5 DraftKings opened -24.5 · 3 toward UNT
Ratings differential UNT by 30.4
American · 4-2
50

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Charlotte: -25.0#138
Efficiency margin
North Texas: +3.0#59
Charlotte: 18.2
Offense (pts/100)
North Texas: 38.0
Charlotte: 34.2
Defense (pts/100)
North Texas: 26.0
Charlotte: 56.0
Pace (plays/g)
North Texas: 73.2
Charlotte: 5.14
Yards / play
North Texas: 7.30
Charlotte: 6.45
Yards / play allowed
North Texas: 5.52
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Charlotte: 16.0
Points / game
North Texas: 42.2
Charlotte: 42.2
Points allowed
North Texas: 29.2
Charlotte: 288
Yards / game
North Texas: 534
Charlotte: 467
Yards allowed
North Texas: 356
Charlotte: 283
Pass yds allowed
North Texas: 213
Charlotte: 184
Rush yds allowed
North Texas: 143
Charlotte: 2.50
Turnovers / game
North Texas: 1.17
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Charlotte form

L 10-50at UNTL 8-59vs MEML 7-34vs ULL 21-26at APPL 9-41at MISS
2026 season

North Texas form

W 50-10vs CLTW 45-44at TLSAW 63-14vs HCUL 35-49at TXSTW 44-6vs UNLV
2026 season

Charlotte this season

Straight up0-6 · 0% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

North Texas this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentCharlotteNorth Texas
Tulane
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
UAB
American
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Tulsa
American
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat W 45-44 preview
Navy
American
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 2–2 · North Texas has won the last 2
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 11.2 points toward North Texas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-10Charlotte 10 — 50 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20252025-10-24North Texas 54 — 20 Charlotteat CLTNorth Texas
20202020-10-10Charlotte 49 — 21 North Texasat UNTCharlotte
20192019-10-26North Texas 38 — 39 Charlotteat CLTCharlotte

Charlotte leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCole Gonzales QB #979/127, 802 YDS, 3 TD, 7 INT
Conner Harrell QB #1513/19, 93 YDS
RushingKhamani Alexander RB #544 CAR, 201 YDS, 3 TD
Henry Rutledge RB #2123 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
Chance Williams RB #720 CAR, 116 YDS
ReceivingJaden Barnes WR #126 REC, 249 YDS
Jaylen Hampton WR #220 REC, 224 YDS, 2 TD
Derrick Eley WR #8912 REC, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Khamani Alexander RB #57 REC, 47 YDS
Defense
TacklesGavin Willis LB #1344
Kadin Schmitz LB #1934
Collin Gill DB #031
SacksCollin Gill DB #02
DJ Burgess DL #71
Kadin Schmitz LB #191
InterceptionsCollin Gill DB #01
Devon St. Clair DB #261

North Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTayven Jackson QB #2119/167, 1519 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT
Chaston Ditta QB #910/11, 126 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJahiem White RB #184 CAR, 582 YDS, 8 TD
Brendon Haygood RB #2929 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #1211 CAR, 57 YDS
ReceivingJustin Stevenson WR #1324 REC, 331 YDS, 3 TD
Corri Milliner WR #020 REC, 325 YDS, 1 TD
Max Reese TE #714 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD
Josiah Martin WR #611 REC, 161 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Coombes S #445
Zakye Barker LB #341
Brandon Jones S #029
SacksDavion Rhodes DL #912
Zakye Barker LB #32
David Onuoha DL #101.5
InterceptionsJaden Allen CB #191
Bryce Garza S #141
Keshawn Davila CB #11
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.