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Wk 8 · 2026

North Texas Mean Green at Navy Midshipmen — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD · CBSSN

Weather at kickoff

55°F mostly clear
13% chance of precipitation · wind 16 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
American · 4-2
at
3:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNT by 7.3
American · 2-3

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

North Texas: +3.0#59
Efficiency margin
Navy: -6.7#95
North Texas: 38.0
Offense (pts/100)
Navy: 27.2
North Texas: 26.0
Defense (pts/100)
Navy: 24.9
North Texas: 73.2
Pace (plays/g)
Navy: 66.4
North Texas: 7.30
Yards / play
Navy: 6.05
North Texas: 5.52
Yards / play allowed
Navy: 5.23
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

North Texas: 42.2
Points / game
Navy: 27.0
North Texas: 29.2
Points allowed
Navy: 23.4
North Texas: 534
Yards / game
Navy: 401
North Texas: 356
Yards allowed
Navy: 322
North Texas: 213
Pass yds allowed
Navy: 225
North Texas: 143
Rush yds allowed
Navy: 97
North Texas: 1.17
Turnovers / game
Navy: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

North Texas form

W 50-10vs CLTW 45-44at TLSAW 63-14vs HCUL 35-49at TXSTW 44-6vs UNLV
2026 season

Navy form

W 34-26vs TLSAL 9-14at AFL 20-24at UABL 30-38at FAUW 42-15vs TOW
2026 season

North Texas this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Navy this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentNorth TexasNavy
Tulsa
American
at W 45-44 previewvs W 34-26 preview
Charlotte
American
vs W 50-10 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
FAU
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 30-38 preview
UTSA
American
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
UAB
American
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat L 20-24 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Navy leads 2–1 · North Texas won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.3 points toward Navy
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-01Navy 17 — 31 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20232023-10-07North Texas 24 — 27 Navyat NAVYNavy
20072007-11-10Navy 74 — 62 North Texasat UNTNavy

North Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTayven Jackson QB #2119/167, 1519 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT
Chaston Ditta QB #910/11, 126 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJahiem White RB #184 CAR, 582 YDS, 8 TD
Brendon Haygood RB #2929 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #1211 CAR, 57 YDS
ReceivingJustin Stevenson WR #1324 REC, 331 YDS, 3 TD
Corri Milliner WR #020 REC, 325 YDS, 1 TD
Max Reese TE #714 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD
Josiah Martin WR #611 REC, 161 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Coombes S #445
Zakye Barker LB #341
Brandon Jones S #029
SacksDavion Rhodes DL #912
Zakye Barker LB #32
David Onuoha DL #101.5
InterceptionsJaden Allen CB #191
Bryce Garza S #141
Keshawn Davila CB #11

Navy leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Gutierrez QB #817/40, 344 YDS, 3 TD
Braxton Woodson QB #57/20, 71 YDS, 1 INT
RushingBraxton Woodson QB #538 CAR, 299 YDS, 4 TD
Jackson Gutierrez QB #861 CAR, 273 YDS, 4 TD
Vic Listorti RB #4028 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingTruman Brasfield WR #832 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
Luke Hutchison WR #894 REC, 75 YDS
Jordan Collins TE #842 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Vic Listorti RB #403 REC, 55 YDS
Defense
TacklesMarcAnthony Parker LB #5634
Coleman Cauley LB #5832
Giuseppe Sessi S #1625
SacksMarcAnthony Parker LB #564
Aiden Lyczek DE #652
Marcus Bleazard LB #531
InterceptionsGiuseppe Sessi S #161
Matthew Seliga S #51
Phillip Hamilton CB #61
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.