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Wk 10 · 2026

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, CO · USA Net

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 5-1
at
6:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential BOIS by 15.4
Pac-12 · 2-3

What is at stake

A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Boise St is ranked #23 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Boise St: +9.9#32
Efficiency margin
Colorado St: -7.9#101
Boise St: 37.1
Offense (pts/100)
Colorado St: 31.2
Boise St: 18.3
Defense (pts/100)
Colorado St: 30.1
Boise St: 70.8
Pace (plays/g)
Colorado St: 67.2
Boise St: 6.36
Yards / play
Colorado St: 6.67
Boise St: 6.80
Yards / play allowed
Colorado St: 7.78
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Boise St: 35.0
Points / game
Colorado St: 37.4
Boise St: 22.3
Points allowed
Colorado St: 38.6
Boise St: 450
Yards / game
Colorado St: 448
Boise St: 368
Yards allowed
Colorado St: 493
Boise St: 261
Pass yds allowed
Colorado St: 265
Boise St: 107
Rush yds allowed
Colorado St: 229
Boise St: 0.50
Turnovers / game
Colorado St: 0.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Boise St form

W 38-31at FRESW 37-18vs USUW 32-7at WMUW 38-24vs SDAKW 38-20vs MEM
2026 season

Colorado St form

L 26-56vs ORSTL 45-59at UTSAL 23-41vs BYUW 58-24vs SUUW 35-13vs WYO
2026 season

Boise St this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Colorado St this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentBoise StColorado St
Utah State
Pac-12
vs W 37-18 previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Fresno St
Pac-12
at W 38-31 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Washington St
Pac-12
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Texas St
Pac-12
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Oregon St
Pac-12
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs L 26-56 preview
San Diego St
Pac-12
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Boise St leads 13–1 · Boise St won the last one
14 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 20.5 points toward Boise St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22Colorado St 21 — 49 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20232023-10-14Boise St 30 — 31 Colorado Stat CSUColorado St
20222022-10-29Colorado St 10 — 49 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20212021-10-30Boise St 28 — 19 Colorado Stat CSUBoise St
20202020-11-12Colorado St 21 — 52 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20192019-11-29Boise St 31 — 24 Colorado Stat CSUBoise St
20182018-10-19Colorado St 28 — 56 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20172017-11-11Boise St 59 — 52 Colorado Stat CSUBoise St
20162016-10-15Colorado St 23 — 28 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20152015-10-10Boise St 41 — 10 Colorado Stat CSUBoise St
20142014-09-06Colorado St 24 — 37 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20132013-11-02Boise St 42 — 30 Colorado Stat CSUBoise St
20122012-11-17Colorado St 14 — 42 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20112011-10-15Boise St 63 — 13 Colorado Stat CSUBoise St

Boise St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMaddux Madsen QB #487/132, 1058 YDS, 11 TD
RushingDylan Riley RB #0108 CAR, 685 YDS, 5 TD
Sire Gaines RB #2645 CAR, 234 YDS, 2 TD
Maddux Madsen QB #424 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingRasean Jones WR #1923 REC, 359 YDS, 1 TD
Matt Wagner TE #8817 REC, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Akeem Wright WR #59 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD
Ben Ford WR #828 REC, 92 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesBoen Phelps LB #129
Travis Anderson DB #424
Derek Ganter Jr. DB #918
SacksJayden Virgin-Morgan LB #52
Max Stege LB #951.5
Mikaio Edward DL #971.5
InterceptionsTravis Anderson DB #43
Jake Ripp LB #431
Roman Tillmon DB #221

Colorado St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingK'saan Farrar QB #263/103, 649 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Hauss Hejny QB #847/73, 619 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT
RushingMel Brown RB 41 CAR, 409 YDS, 3 TD
Durell Robinson RB #1162 CAR, 266 YDS, 4 TD
Hauss Hejny QB #813 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingRJ Vick WR #024 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD
Terrence Smith Jr. WR #1517 REC, 242 YDS, 3 TD
Cedric Ross RB #227 REC, 178 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Harper WR #616 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesOumar Diomande LB #3251
Tre'Shawn Moore S #1537
Jaseim Mitchell LB #2331
SacksJack Moran DL #771.5
Elijah Brown CB #61.5
Stephon Wright DL #91
InterceptionsCJ Blocker CB #173
Oumar Diomande LB #322
D'Angelo Hagans Jr. CB #51
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.