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Wk 5 · 2026

Oregon State Beavers at Colorado State Rams — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, CO · USA Net FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 4-2
56
at
6:00pET
ORST -7 · total 60.5 DraftKings opened +4 · 3 toward ORST
Ratings differential ORST by 12.9
Pac-12 · 2-3
26

What is at stake

A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Oregon St: +7.4#38
Efficiency margin
Colorado St: -7.9#101
Oregon St: 36.4
Offense (pts/100)
Colorado St: 31.2
Oregon St: 20.0
Defense (pts/100)
Colorado St: 30.1
Oregon St: 71.8
Pace (plays/g)
Colorado St: 67.2
Oregon St: 7.27
Yards / play
Colorado St: 6.67
Oregon St: 5.02
Yards / play allowed
Colorado St: 7.78
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Oregon St: 41.8
Points / game
Colorado St: 37.4
Oregon St: 22.0
Points allowed
Colorado St: 38.6
Oregon St: 522
Yards / game
Colorado St: 448
Oregon St: 326
Yards allowed
Colorado St: 493
Oregon St: 190
Pass yds allowed
Colorado St: 265
Oregon St: 136
Rush yds allowed
Colorado St: 229
Oregon St: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Colorado St: 0.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Oregon St form

W 66-14vs SDSUW 56-26at CSUW 33-7at UTEPW 52-17vs MONTL 24-35vs TTU
2026 season

Colorado St form

L 26-56vs ORSTL 45-59at UTSAL 23-41vs BYUW 58-24vs SUUW 35-13vs WYO
2026 season

Oregon St this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread6-0 · 100% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Colorado St this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentOregon StColorado St
San Diego St
Pac-12
vs W 66-14 previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Washington St
Pac-12
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Fresno St
Pac-12
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Texas St
Pac-12
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Boise St
Pac-12
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Utah State
Pac-12
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Oregon St leads 2–1 · Oregon St has won the last 2
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.3 points toward Oregon St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03Oregon St 56 — 26 Colorado Stat CSUOregon St
20242024-10-05Colorado St 31 — 39 Oregon Stat ORSTOregon St
20172017-08-26Oregon St 27 — 58 Colorado Stat CSUColorado St

Oregon St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBraden Atkinson QB #2137/197, 1848 YDS, 16 TD, 2 INT
Maalik Murphy QB #63/4, 28 YDS
RushingAJ Newberry RB #2345 CAR, 271 YDS, 2 TD
Cornell Hatcher Jr. RB #324 CAR, 120 YDS, 2 TD
Tre Garrison RB #2220 CAR, 78 YDS
ReceivingJesse Legree WR #1228 REC, 741 YDS, 9 TD
Eric Olsen TE #8024 REC, 236 YDS, 3 TD
Aeryn Hampton WR #717 REC, 197 YDS, 1 TD
AJ Newberry RB #2317 REC, 159 YDS
Defense
TacklesAiden Sullivan LB #239
Takari Hickle LB #4426
Gyriece Goodman LB #1226
SacksTakari Hickle LB #443.5
Aiden Sullivan LB #22
Tevita Pome'e DT #591.5
InterceptionsTJ Crandall DB #41
Sailasa Vadrawale III DB #81
Drake Vickers DB #361

Colorado St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingK'saan Farrar QB #263/103, 649 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Hauss Hejny QB #847/73, 619 YDS, 10 TD, 1 INT
RushingMel Brown RB 41 CAR, 409 YDS, 3 TD
Durell Robinson RB #1162 CAR, 266 YDS, 4 TD
Hauss Hejny QB #813 CAR, 128 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingRJ Vick WR #024 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD
Terrence Smith Jr. WR #1517 REC, 242 YDS, 3 TD
Cedric Ross RB #227 REC, 178 YDS, 2 TD
Jackson Harper WR #616 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesOumar Diomande LB #3251
Tre'Shawn Moore S #1537
Jaseim Mitchell LB #2331
SacksJack Moran DL #771.5
Elijah Brown CB #61.5
Stephon Wright DL #91
InterceptionsCJ Blocker CB #173
Oumar Diomande LB #322
D'Angelo Hagans Jr. CB #51
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.