Wk 11 · 2026
Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 4-1
at
TBDET
MIA -21 · total 55.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MIA by 20.7
ACC · 5-0
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Miami is ranked #4 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Duke form
L 25-28at GTW 62-7vs W&MW 35-7vs STANW 31-27at ILLW 17-3vs TULN
2026 season
Miami form
W 41-13at CLEMW 52-3vs CMUW 33-20at WAKEW 77-7vs FAMUW 45-6at STAN
2026 season
Duke this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Miami this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Duke | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| Stanford ACC | vs W 35-7 preview | at W 45-6 preview |
| North Carolina ACC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Boston College ACC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Clemson ACC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at W 41-13 preview |
| Wake Forest ACC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at W 33-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Miami leads 14–4 · Miami won the last one
18 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
11.9 points toward Miami
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-02 | Duke 31 — 53 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2022 | 2022-10-22 | Duke 45 — 21 Miami | at MIA | Duke |
| 2021 | 2021-11-27 | Miami 47 — 10 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2020 | 2020-12-05 | Miami 48 — 0 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | Miami 17 — 27 Duke | at DUKE | Duke |
| 2018 | 2018-11-03 | Duke 20 — 12 Miami | at MIA | Duke |
| 2017 | 2017-09-29 | Miami 31 — 6 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2016 | 2016-11-26 | Duke 21 — 40 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2015 | 2015-10-31 | Miami 30 — 27 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2014 | 2014-09-27 | Duke 10 — 22 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2013 | 2013-11-16 | Miami 30 — 48 Duke | at DUKE | Duke |
| 2012 | 2012-11-24 | Miami 52 — 45 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2011 | 2011-11-05 | Duke 14 — 49 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2010 | 2010-10-16 | Miami 28 — 13 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2009 | 2009-11-21 | Duke 16 — 34 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2008 | 2008-10-18 | Miami 49 — 31 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
| 2007 | 2007-09-29 | Duke 14 — 24 Miami | at MIA | Miami |
| 2006 | 2006-10-21 | Miami 20 — 15 Duke | at DUKE | Miami |
Duke leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Walker Eget QB #2 | 58/93, 721 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Dan Mahan QB #10 | 6/9, 126 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Nate Sheppard RB #20 | 91 CAR, 644 YDS, 6 TD |
| CJ Campbell Jr. RB #0 | 36 CAR, 139 YDS | |
| Jayvian Tanelus RB #22 | 16 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Jeremiah Hasley TE #85 | 13 REC, 195 YDS |
| Jonah Burton WR #6 | 13 REC, 187 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaivon Solomon WR #4 | 5 REC, 106 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jared Richardson WR #17 | 5 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Morris Jr. LB #7 | 23 |
| Andrew Pellicciotta S #35 | 22 | |
| Dylan Flowers CB #0 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Bradley Gompers LB #24 | 3 |
| Kevin O'Connor DE #15 | 2 | |
| Bryce Davis DE #12 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Evan Smith CB #4 | 1 |
Miami leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Darian Mensah QB #10 | 112/133, 1438 YDS, 15 TD |
| Luke Nickel QB #5 | 15/20, 204 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Mark Fletcher Jr. RB #4 | 52 CAR, 307 YDS, 5 TD |
| Javian Mallory RB #21 | 39 CAR, 289 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Chris Wheatley-Humphrey RB #25 | 11 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Malachi Toney WR #1 | 39 REC, 604 YDS, 6 TD |
| Cooper Barkate WR #18 | 19 REC, 241 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Elija Lofton TE #9 | 12 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Daylyn Upshaw WR #7 | 13 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Omar Thornton DB #0 | 21 |
| Marquise Lightfoot DL #8 | 20 | |
| Mohamed Toure LB #1 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Marquise Lightfoot DL #8 | 5 |
| Damon Wilson II DL #10 | 3.5 | |
| Omar Thornton DB #0 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Ethan O'Connor DB #24 | 1 |
| Brody Jennings DB #15 | 1 | |
| JJ Dunnigan DB #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.