Wk 3 · 2026
Stanford Cardinal at Duke Blue Devils — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC
· CW FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
4:00pET
DUKE -9.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings opened -10 · 0.5 toward STAN
Ratings differential DUKE by 21.8
What is at stake
A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Stanford form
L 7-58at NDL 3-57at WAKEW 34-27vs GTL 7-35at DUKEL 6-45vs MIA
2026 season
Duke form
L 25-28at GTW 62-7vs W&MW 35-7vs STANW 31-27at ILLW 17-3vs TULN
2026 season
Stanford this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Duke this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Stanford | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Miami ACC | vs L 6-45 preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Georgia Tech ACC | vs W 34-27 preview | at L 25-28 preview |
| Wake Forest ACC | at L 3-57 preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| NC State ACC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Stanford leads 2–1 · Duke won the last one
3 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
13.0 points toward Stanford
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | Stanford 7 — 35 Duke | at DUKE | Duke |
| 2012 | 2012-09-08 | Duke 13 — 50 Stanford | at STAN | Stanford |
| 2011 | 2011-09-10 | Stanford 44 — 14 Duke | at DUKE | Stanford |
Stanford leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Davis Warren QB #8 | 102/173, 1207 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT |
| Michael Mitchell Jr. QB #9 | 5/8, 32 YDS | |
| Rushing | Micah Ford RB #20 | 82 CAR, 302 YDS, 4 TD |
| Sedrick Irvin RB #26 | 35 CAR, 145 YDS | |
| Champ Hampton RB #34 | 6 CAR, 27 YDS | |
| Receiving | Caden High WR #0 | 17 REC, 266 YDS, 3 TD |
| Benji Blackburn TE #88 | 20 REC, 159 YDS | |
| Zion Robinson WR #2 | 7 REC, 155 YDS | |
| Nico Brown WR #23 | 10 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Matt Rose LB #35 | 38 |
| Jay Green S #5 | 31 | |
| Sam Mattingly LB #10 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Gabe Kaminski LB #49 | 2 |
| Omar Staples DL #45 | 1.5 | |
| Sam Mattingly LB #10 | 0.5 | |
| Interceptions | Brandon Nicholson CB #9 | 1 |
| Darrius Davis S #6 | 1 | |
| Charlie Eckhardt S #39 | 1 |
Duke leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Walker Eget QB #2 | 58/93, 721 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Dan Mahan QB #10 | 6/9, 126 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Nate Sheppard RB #20 | 91 CAR, 644 YDS, 6 TD |
| CJ Campbell Jr. RB #0 | 36 CAR, 139 YDS | |
| Jayvian Tanelus RB #22 | 16 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Jeremiah Hasley TE #85 | 13 REC, 195 YDS |
| Jonah Burton WR #6 | 13 REC, 187 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaivon Solomon WR #4 | 5 REC, 106 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jared Richardson WR #17 | 5 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Morris Jr. LB #7 | 23 |
| Andrew Pellicciotta S #35 | 22 | |
| Dylan Flowers CB #0 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Bradley Gompers LB #24 | 3 |
| Kevin O'Connor DE #15 | 2 | |
| Bryce Davis DE #12 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Evan Smith CB #4 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.