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Wk 10 · 2026

Fresno State Bulldogs at Utah State Aggies — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT · USA Net

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Fresno State Bulldogs
Pac-12 · 4-2
at
9:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential FRES by 5.0
Utah State Aggies
Pac-12 · 2-4

What is at stake

A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Fresno St: +0.2#70
Efficiency margin
Utah State: -7.2#97
Fresno St: 30.4
Offense (pts/100)
Utah State: 25.4
Fresno St: 21.2
Defense (pts/100)
Utah State: 23.6
Fresno St: 60.3
Pace (plays/g)
Utah State: 62.2
Fresno St: 6.03
Yards / play
Utah State: 4.99
Fresno St: 5.72
Yards / play allowed
Utah State: 5.13
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Fresno St: 28.3
Points / game
Utah State: 14.5
Fresno St: 20.0
Points allowed
Utah State: 23.5
Fresno St: 364
Yards / game
Utah State: 310
Fresno St: 384
Yards allowed
Utah State: 360
Fresno St: 219
Pass yds allowed
Utah State: 219
Fresno St: 165
Rush yds allowed
Utah State: 141
Fresno St: 0.50
Turnovers / game
Utah State: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Fresno St form

L 31-38vs BOISW 26-6at WSUW 38-24vs RICEW 26-10at SJSUW 49-3vs SAC
2026 season

Utah State form

W 17-16vs WSUL 18-37at BOISW 21-10vs TROYL 0-33at UTAHL 14-16at WASH
2026 season

Fresno St this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Utah State this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentFresno StUtah State
Washington St
Pac-12
at W 26-6 previewvs W 17-16 preview
Boise St
Pac-12
vs L 31-38 previewat L 18-37 preview
San Diego St
Pac-12
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Oregon St
Pac-12
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Texas St
Pac-12
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Colorado St
Pac-12
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Fresno St leads 8–5 · Utah State won the last one
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.1 points toward Fresno St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22Utah State 28 — 17 Fresno Stat FRESUtah State
20232023-10-13Fresno St 37 — 32 Utah Stateat USUFresno St
20202020-11-14Fresno St 35 — 16 Utah Stateat USUFresno St
20192019-11-09Utah State 37 — 35 Fresno Stat FRESUtah State
20162016-10-22Fresno St 20 — 38 Utah Stateat USUUtah State
20152015-10-10Utah State 56 — 14 Fresno Stat FRESUtah State
20132013-12-07Utah State 17 — 24 Fresno Stat FRESFresno St
20112011-10-15Utah State 21 — 31 Fresno Stat FRESFresno St
20102010-09-18Fresno St 41 — 24 Utah Stateat USUFresno St
20092009-10-31Utah State 27 — 31 Fresno Stat FRESFresno St
20082008-10-25Fresno St 30 — 28 Utah Stateat USUFresno St
20072007-11-03Utah State 27 — 38 Fresno Stat FRESFresno St
20062006-10-07Fresno St 12 — 13 Utah Stateat USUUtah State

Fresno St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Mandal QB #791/137, 1034 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
Jordan Malau'ulu WR #101/1, 21 YDS
RushingRayshon Luke RB #242 CAR, 286 YDS, 1 TD
Bryson Donelson RB #648 CAR, 206 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Mandal QB #735 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman WR #525 REC, 322 YDS, 2 TD
Ezekiel Avit WR #013 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
Jahlil McClain WR #112 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
Rayshon Luke RB #212 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesK'vion Thunderbird LB #1039
Simeon Harris DB #525
Gerayas Grimes DB #2724
SacksDylan Hampsten DL #113
Tytus Khajavi LB #352
Deijon Laffitte DL #01.5
InterceptionsSimeon Harris DB #53
Ethan Tierney DB #42
Justin Johnson LB #251
full roster and per-player history

Utah State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingGrady Brosterhous QB #978/142, 914 YDS, 7 TD, 6 INT
McCae Hillstead QB #317/37, 225 YDS, 2 TD, 4 INT
RushingJaven Jacobs RB #870 CAR, 393 YDS, 2 TD
Grady Brosterhous QB #986 CAR, 243 YDS
McCae Hillstead QB #315 CAR, 53 YDS
ReceivingEli Wood WR #736 REC, 472 YDS, 5 TD
Javon Robinson WR #513 REC, 212 YDS, 2 TD
Demick Starling WR #69 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD
Nikko Boncore WR #46 REC, 98 YDS
Defense
TacklesBrevin Hamblin S #451
Asher Cunningham LB #1149
Chapman Lewis S #2132
SacksJordan Pendleton LB #172.5
James Jennette LB #182
Asher Cunningham LB #111.5
InterceptionsBrevin Hamblin S #41
David Kabongo S #81
D'Angelo Mayes CB #151
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.