Wk 9 · 2026
Oregon State Beavers at Fresno State Bulldogs — Sat, Oct 31
Sat, Oct 31 ·
Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA
· USA Net
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 4-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ORST by 4.8
Pac-12 · 4-2
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Oregon St form
W 66-14vs SDSUW 56-26at CSUW 33-7at UTEPW 52-17vs MONTL 24-35vs TTU
2026 season
Fresno St form
L 31-38vs BOISW 26-6at WSUW 38-24vs RICEW 26-10at SJSUW 49-3vs SAC
2026 season
Oregon St this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread6-0 · 100% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Fresno St this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Oregon St | Fresno St |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado St Pac-12 | at W 56-26 preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| San Diego St Pac-12 | vs W 66-14 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Washington St Pac-12 | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at W 26-6 preview |
| Texas St Pac-12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Boise St Pac-12 | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs L 31-38 preview |
| Utah State Pac-12 | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Fresno St won the last one
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.0 points toward Fresno St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-06 | Fresno St 36 — 27 Oregon St | at ORST | Fresno St |
| 2022 | 2022-09-10 | Oregon St 35 — 32 Fresno St | at FRES | Oregon St |
Oregon St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Braden Atkinson QB #2 | 137/197, 1848 YDS, 16 TD, 2 INT |
| Maalik Murphy QB #6 | 3/4, 28 YDS | |
| Rushing | AJ Newberry RB #23 | 45 CAR, 271 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. RB #3 | 24 CAR, 120 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Tre Garrison RB #22 | 20 CAR, 78 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jesse Legree WR #12 | 28 REC, 741 YDS, 9 TD |
| Eric Olsen TE #80 | 24 REC, 236 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Aeryn Hampton WR #7 | 17 REC, 197 YDS, 1 TD | |
| AJ Newberry RB #23 | 17 REC, 159 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Aiden Sullivan LB #2 | 39 |
| Takari Hickle LB #44 | 26 | |
| Gyriece Goodman LB #12 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Takari Hickle LB #44 | 3.5 |
| Aiden Sullivan LB #2 | 2 | |
| Tevita Pome'e DT #59 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | TJ Crandall DB #4 | 1 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale III DB #8 | 1 | |
| Drake Vickers DB #36 | 1 |
Fresno St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 91/137, 1034 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Jordan Malau'ulu WR #10 | 1/1, 21 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 42 CAR, 286 YDS, 1 TD |
| Bryson Donelson RB #6 | 48 CAR, 206 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jayden Mandal QB #7 | 35 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Josiah Freeman WR #5 | 25 REC, 322 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ezekiel Avit WR #0 | 13 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jahlil McClain WR #1 | 12 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rayshon Luke RB #2 | 12 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | K'vion Thunderbird LB #10 | 39 |
| Simeon Harris DB #5 | 25 | |
| Gerayas Grimes DB #27 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dylan Hampsten DL #11 | 3 |
| Tytus Khajavi LB #35 | 2 | |
| Deijon Laffitte DL #0 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Simeon Harris DB #5 | 3 |
| Ethan Tierney DB #4 | 2 | |
| Justin Johnson LB #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.