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Wk 10 · 2026

Kentucky Wildcats at Tennessee Volunteers — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Kentucky Wildcats
SEC · 5-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TENN by 6.3
#15 Tennessee Volunteers
SEC · 5-1

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start. Tennessee is ranked #15 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Kentucky: +10.6#29
Efficiency margin
Tennessee: +14.5#16
Kentucky: 36.8
Offense (pts/100)
Tennessee: 38.8
Kentucky: 17.2
Defense (pts/100)
Tennessee: 15.2
Kentucky: 65.5
Pace (plays/g)
Tennessee: 69.0
Kentucky: 6.32
Yards / play
Tennessee: 6.01
Kentucky: 5.31
Yards / play allowed
Tennessee: 4.71
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Kentucky: 34.7
Points / game
Tennessee: 34.7
Kentucky: 28.0
Points allowed
Tennessee: 15.5
Kentucky: 414
Yards / game
Tennessee: 415
Kentucky: 382
Yards allowed
Tennessee: 294
Kentucky: 246
Pass yds allowed
Tennessee: 161
Kentucky: 136
Rush yds allowed
Tennessee: 132
Kentucky: 0.83
Turnovers / game
Tennessee: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Kentucky form

W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season

Tennessee form

W 24-17at ARKW 24-14vs AUBL 17-20vs TEXW 42-9vs KENNW 45-24at GT
2026 season

Kentucky this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Tennessee this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentKentuckyTennessee
Alabama
SEC
vs L 17-45 previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Texas A&M
SEC
at W 31-21 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
South Carolina
SEC
at W 35-34 previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
LSU
SEC
vs W 35-34 previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Vanderbilt
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Tennessee leads 17–3 · Tennessee has won the last 5
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.9 points toward Tennessee
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-25Tennessee 56 — 34 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20242024-11-02Kentucky 18 — 28 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20232023-10-28Tennessee 33 — 27 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20222022-10-29Kentucky 6 — 44 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20212021-11-06Tennessee 45 — 42 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20202020-10-17Kentucky 34 — 7 Tennesseeat TENNKentucky
20192019-11-09Tennessee 17 — 13 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20182018-11-10Kentucky 7 — 24 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20172017-10-28Tennessee 26 — 29 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20162016-11-12Kentucky 36 — 49 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20152015-10-31Tennessee 52 — 21 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20142014-11-15Kentucky 16 — 50 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20132013-11-30Tennessee 27 — 14 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20122012-11-24Kentucky 17 — 37 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20112011-11-26Tennessee 7 — 10 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20102010-11-27Kentucky 14 — 24 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20092009-11-28Tennessee 30 — 24 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20082008-11-29Kentucky 10 — 28 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20072007-11-24Tennessee 52 — 50 Kentuckyat UKTennessee
20062006-11-25Kentucky 12 — 17 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee

Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKenny Minchey QB #397/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Callum Wither QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingCJ Baxter RB #168 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD
Jason Patterson RB #2645 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Jovantae Barnes RB #220 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby WR #1925 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Willie Rodriguez TE #8122 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Nic Anderson WR #49 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Henry Boyer TE #878 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesGrant Godfrey LB #2243
Jordan Castell DB #542
Ty Bryant DB #1439
SacksMi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #902.5
Grant Godfrey LB #222
Tavion Gadson DL #941.5
InterceptionsJordan Castell DB #52
Grant Godfrey LB #221
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #901
full roster and per-player history

Tennessee leaders 2026 regular season

PassingFaizon Brandon QB #1161/101, 697 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
George MacIntyre QB #1214/20, 148 YDS, 1 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop RB #1888 CAR, 540 YDS, 7 TD
Daune Morris RB #1746 CAR, 299 YDS, 2 TD
Faizon Brandon QB #1153 CAR, 130 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews WR #418 REC, 318 YDS, 3 TD
Braylon Staley WR #1417 REC, 140 YDS, 2 TD
Radarious Jackson WR #39 REC, 115 YDS
Ethan Davis TE #03 REC, 43 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesArion Carter LB #733
Amare Campbell LB #032
TJ Metcalf DB #123
SacksXavier Gilliam DL #24
Mariyon Dye DL #94
Tyree Weathersby DL #183.5
InterceptionsDejuan Lane DB #102
Kayin Lee DB #141
Jeremiah Telander LB #221
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.