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Wk 8 · 2026

Vanderbilt Commodores at Kentucky Wildcats — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Kroger Field, Lexington, KY

Weather

59° / 38° partly cloudy
16% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
Vanderbilt Commodores
SEC · 3-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UK by 10.3
Kentucky Wildcats
SEC · 5-1

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Vanderbilt: +2.7#61
Efficiency margin
Kentucky: +10.6#29
Vanderbilt: 31.5
Offense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 36.8
Vanderbilt: 19.8
Defense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 17.2
Vanderbilt: 65.0
Pace (plays/g)
Kentucky: 65.5
Vanderbilt: 5.36
Yards / play
Kentucky: 6.32
Vanderbilt: 5.55
Yards / play allowed
Kentucky: 5.31
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Vanderbilt: 24.0
Points / game
Kentucky: 34.7
Vanderbilt: 29.5
Points allowed
Kentucky: 28.0
Vanderbilt: 348
Yards / game
Kentucky: 414
Vanderbilt: 354
Yards allowed
Kentucky: 382
Vanderbilt: 214
Pass yds allowed
Kentucky: 246
Vanderbilt: 140
Rush yds allowed
Kentucky: 136
Vanderbilt: 1.67
Turnovers / game
Kentucky: 0.83
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Vanderbilt form

L 17-52vs MISSL 14-38at UGAL 15-21at AUBW 35-31vs NCSUW 35-26vs DEL
2026 season

Kentucky form

W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season

Vanderbilt this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Kentucky this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentVanderbiltKentucky
Alabama
SEC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs L 17-45 preview
Florida
SEC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Tennessee
SEC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Kentucky leads 12–8 · Vanderbilt has won the last 2
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 1.1 points toward Kentucky
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22Kentucky 17 — 45 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20242024-10-12Vanderbilt 20 — 13 Kentuckyat UKVanderbilt
20232023-09-23Kentucky 45 — 28 Vanderbiltat VANKentucky
20222022-11-12Vanderbilt 24 — 21 Kentuckyat UKVanderbilt
20212021-11-13Kentucky 34 — 17 Vanderbiltat VANKentucky
20202020-11-14Vanderbilt 35 — 38 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20192019-11-16Kentucky 38 — 14 Vanderbiltat VANKentucky
20182018-10-20Vanderbilt 7 — 14 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20172017-11-11Kentucky 44 — 21 Vanderbiltat VANKentucky
20162016-10-08Vanderbilt 13 — 20 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20152015-11-14Kentucky 17 — 21 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20142014-09-27Vanderbilt 7 — 17 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20132013-11-16Kentucky 6 — 22 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20122012-11-03Vanderbilt 40 — 0 Kentuckyat UKVanderbilt
20112011-11-12Kentucky 8 — 38 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20102010-11-13Vanderbilt 20 — 38 Kentuckyat UKKentucky
20092009-11-14Kentucky 24 — 13 Vanderbiltat VANKentucky
20082008-11-15Vanderbilt 31 — 24 Kentuckyat UKVanderbilt
20072007-11-10Kentucky 27 — 20 Vanderbiltat VANKentucky
20062006-11-11Vanderbilt 26 — 38 Kentuckyat UKKentucky

Vanderbilt leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Curtis QB #263/98, 746 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Blaze Berlowitz QB #126/48, 368 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingSedrick Alexander RB #2845 CAR, 200 YDS, 4 TD
Makhilyn Young RB #2234 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Jared Curtis QB #241 CAR, 133 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill WR #028 REC, 474 YDS, 3 TD
Tristen Brown WR #59 REC, 130 YDS
Jayvontay Conner TE #811 REC, 126 YDS
Ja'Cory Thomas WR #66 REC, 78 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Heard S #840
Bryan Longwell LB #1131
Nick Rinaldi LB #2426
SacksNick Rinaldi LB #243.5
CJ Heard S #83
Issa Ouattara DL #52
InterceptionsMiles Capers EDGE #291
Bryce Cowan LB #221
Martel Hight CB #41
full roster and per-player history

Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKenny Minchey QB #397/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Callum Wither QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingCJ Baxter RB #168 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD
Jason Patterson RB #2645 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Jovantae Barnes RB #220 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby WR #1925 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Willie Rodriguez TE #8122 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Nic Anderson WR #49 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Henry Boyer TE #878 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesGrant Godfrey LB #2243
Jordan Castell DB #542
Ty Bryant DB #1439
SacksMi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #902.5
Grant Godfrey LB #222
Tavion Gadson DL #941.5
InterceptionsJordan Castell DB #52
Grant Godfrey LB #221
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #901
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.