Wk 10 · 2026
Liberty Flames at New Mexico State Aggies — Sat, Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7 ·
Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 27 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · 5-1
at
5:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LIB by 11.5
CUSA · 2-4
What is at stake
A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Liberty form
W 35-3vs SHSUW 30-14at DELW 34-17at CCUW 51-15vs BALLW 24-23vs GWEB
2026 season
New Mexico St form
L 3-22at FIUW 34-13vs WKUL 18-42vs UNML 19-29at HAWW 51-14vs MERC
2026 season
Liberty this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
New Mexico St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Liberty | New Mexico St |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware CUSA | at W 30-14 preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Sam Houston CUSA | vs W 35-3 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| FIU CUSA | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 3-22 preview |
| MTSU CUSA | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Western KY CUSA | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs W 34-13 preview |
| Missouri St CUSA | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Liberty leads 7–2 · Liberty has won the last 4
9 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.4 points toward Liberty
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-14 | New Mexico St 27 — 30 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
| 2024 | 2024-09-07 | Liberty 30 — 24 New Mexico St | at NMSU | Liberty |
| 2023 | 2023-12-01 | New Mexico St 35 — 49 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
| 2023 | 2023-09-09 | New Mexico St 17 — 33 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
| 2022 | 2022-11-26 | New Mexico St 49 — 14 Liberty | at LIB | New Mexico St |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | New Mexico St 28 — 49 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
| 2019 | 2019-10-05 | Liberty 20 — 13 New Mexico St | at NMSU | Liberty |
| 2018 | 2018-11-24 | New Mexico St 21 — 28 Liberty | at LIB | Liberty |
| 2018 | 2018-10-06 | Liberty 41 — 49 New Mexico St | at NMSU | New Mexico St |
Liberty leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Deshawn Purdie QB #5 | 70/114, 1050 YDS, 8 TD |
| Jaylen Henderson QB #13 | 5/13, 101 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Kam Davis RB #4 | 74 CAR, 524 YDS, 4 TD |
| Peyton Jones RB #7 | 56 CAR, 259 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaylon Coleman RB #0 | 24 CAR, 238 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Makai Jackson WR #2 | 22 REC, 515 YDS, 5 TD |
| Jamari Person WR #3 | 12 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darius Copeland WR #1 | 8 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Zeke Wimbush TE #88 | 7 REC, 88 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Derrell Farrar LB #1 | 33 |
| Aidan Vaughan LB #33 | 33 | |
| Jeremiah Vessel S #13 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Brenton Williams RB #8 | 2.5 |
| Markus Clark DL #15 | 1.5 | |
| Deuce Spurlock LB #9 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Elijah Hopkins CB #5 | 1 |
| Deuce Spurlock LB #9 | 1 | |
| Jeremiah Vessel S #13 | 1 |
New Mexico St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trey Hedden QB #3 | 65/124, 906 YDS, 5 TD, 6 INT |
| Adam Damante QB #14 | 43/70, 477 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | James Jones RB #2 | 92 CAR, 599 YDS, 3 TD |
| TJ Washington Jr. RB #0 | 39 CAR, 164 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jalen Brown RB #28 | 5 CAR, 68 YDS | |
| Receiving | TK King WR #1 | 20 REC, 286 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josiah Thomas TE #15 | 17 REC, 237 YDS | |
| AJ Williams WR #11 | 12 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Terrione Graves WR #9 | 4 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Session S #5 | 50 |
| Tory Gethers LB #6 | 39 | |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Gabe Peterson DE #16 | 4.5 |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 2.5 | |
| Reeves Baller DE #99 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Session S #5 | 2 |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 1 | |
| Javon Gillespie CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.