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Forecast from Open-Meteo
Big Ten · 4-1
at
TBDET
UCLA -3.5 · total 49.5 DraftKings opened -3 · 0.5 toward UCLA
Ratings differential UCLA by 7.4
#21 UCLA Bruins
Big Ten · 5-0
What is at stake
A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. UCLA is ranked #21 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Wisconsin form
W 31-3vs MSUW 24-20at PSUW 54-10vs EMUW 36-9vs WIUL 13-41at ND
2026 season
UCLA form
W 17-15at OREW 54-3at MDW 52-38vs PURW 28-10vs SDSUW 45-24at CAL
2026 season
Wisconsin this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
UCLA this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-0-1 · 100% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Wisconsin | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan St Big Ten | vs W 31-3 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| USC Big Ten | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Maryland Big Ten | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at W 54-3 preview |
| Purdue Big Ten | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs W 52-38 preview |
| Minnesota Big Ten | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.
Wisconsin leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Colton Joseph QB #1 | 81/143, 1132 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT |
| Rushing | Colton Joseph QB #1 | 51 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD |
| Darrion Dupree RB #6 | 43 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Abu Sama III RB #3 | 28 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Tyrell Henry WR #0 | 26 REC, 339 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jacob Harris TE #89 | 13 REC, 238 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Chris Brooks Jr. WR #2 | 11 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Malachi Coleman WR #4 | 5 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Cooper Catalano LB #44 | 45 |
| Mason Posa LB #8 | 40 | |
| Matthew Jung S #29 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Sebastian Cheeks LB #15 | 2.5 |
| Hammond Russell IV DL #91 | 1.5 | |
| Charles Perkins DL #30 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Charles Perkins DL #30 | 1 |
| Mason Posa LB #8 | 1 | |
| Matthew Jung S #29 | 1 |
UCLA leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Nico Iamaleava QB #9 | 62/99, 820 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Madden Iamaleava QB #10 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Wayne Knight RB #3 | 49 CAR, 445 YDS, 9 TD |
| Anthony Woods RB #6 | 36 CAR, 269 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jaivian Thomas RB #21 | 28 CAR, 155 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Semaj Morgan WR #4 | 14 REC, 174 YDS, 2 TD |
| Brian Rowe Jr. WR #2 | 11 REC, 163 YDS | |
| Wayne Knight RB #3 | 8 REC, 88 YDS | |
| Mikey Matthews WR #7 | 4 REC, 88 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Sammy Omosigho LB #10 | 38 |
| Jalen Woods LB #9 | 33 | |
| Ta'Shawn James DB #27 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Sammy Omosigho LB #10 | 3 |
| Sahir West DL #15 | 2 | |
| Scott Taylor LB #20 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Ta'Shawn James DB #27 | 3 |
| Jalen Woods LB #9 | 1 | |
| Rodrick Pleasant DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.