Wk 5 · 2026
Navy Midshipmen at Air Force Falcons — Sat, Oct 3
Sat, Oct 3 ·
Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO
· CBS FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
AF -3 · total 45.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1.5 toward AF
Ratings differential AF by 2.5
What is at stake
Commander-in-Chief's Trophy. The second leg of the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy, and historically the one that decides it more often than Army-Navy does. They play for the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy (leg). A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Navy form
W 34-26vs TLSAL 9-14at AFL 20-24at UABL 30-38at FAUW 42-15vs TOW
2026 season
Air Force form
W 28-7at NIUW 14-9vs NAVYW 36-33at NEVL 32-38vs NDSUW 34-0vs DUQ
2026 season
Navy this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Air Force this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 1
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Navy leads 11–10 · Air Force won the last one
21 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.8 points toward Air Force
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-03 | Navy 9 — 14 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2025 | 2025-10-04 | Air Force 31 — 34 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2024 | 2024-10-05 | Navy 34 — 7 Air Force | at AF | Navy |
| 2023 | 2023-10-21 | Air Force 17 — 6 Navy | at NAVY | Air Force |
| 2022 | 2022-10-01 | Navy 10 — 13 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2021 | 2021-09-11 | Air Force 23 — 3 Navy | at NAVY | Air Force |
| 2020 | 2020-10-03 | Navy 7 — 40 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2019 | 2019-10-05 | Air Force 25 — 34 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2018 | 2018-10-06 | Navy 7 — 35 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2017 | 2017-10-07 | Air Force 45 — 48 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2016 | 2016-10-01 | Navy 14 — 28 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2015 | 2015-10-03 | Air Force 11 — 33 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2014 | 2014-10-04 | Navy 21 — 30 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2013 | 2013-10-05 | Air Force 10 — 28 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2012 | 2012-10-06 | Navy 28 — 21 Air Force | at AF | Navy |
| 2011 | 2011-10-01 | Air Force 35 — 34 Navy | at NAVY | Air Force |
| 2010 | 2010-10-02 | Navy 6 — 14 Air Force | at AF | Air Force |
| 2009 | 2009-10-03 | Air Force 13 — 16 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2008 | 2008-10-04 | Navy 33 — 27 Air Force | at AF | Navy |
| 2007 | 2007-09-29 | Air Force 20 — 31 Navy | at NAVY | Navy |
| 2006 | 2006-10-07 | Navy 24 — 17 Air Force | at AF | Navy |
Navy leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jackson Gutierrez QB #8 | 17/40, 344 YDS, 3 TD |
| Braxton Woodson QB #5 | 7/20, 71 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Braxton Woodson QB #5 | 38 CAR, 299 YDS, 4 TD |
| Jackson Gutierrez QB #8 | 61 CAR, 273 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Vic Listorti RB #40 | 28 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Truman Brasfield WR #83 | 2 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD |
| Luke Hutchison WR #89 | 4 REC, 75 YDS | |
| Jordan Collins TE #84 | 2 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Vic Listorti RB #40 | 3 REC, 55 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | MarcAnthony Parker LB #56 | 34 |
| Coleman Cauley LB #58 | 32 | |
| Giuseppe Sessi S #16 | 25 | |
| Sacks | MarcAnthony Parker LB #56 | 4 |
| Aiden Lyczek DE #65 | 2 | |
| Marcus Bleazard LB #53 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Giuseppe Sessi S #16 | 1 |
| Matthew Seliga S #5 | 1 | |
| Phillip Hamilton CB #6 | 1 |
Air Force leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 19/38, 296 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Medders QB #5 | 3/7, 47 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Liam Szarka QB #9 | 92 CAR, 391 YDS, 7 TD |
| Rocco Conti RB #44 | 35 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kemper Hodges QB #4 | 23 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Simon Kibbee TE #80 | 6 REC, 103 YDS |
| Adam Hrynciw WR #10 | 4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Matt Long WR #3 | 4 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jonah Dawson WR #8 | 3 REC, 39 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 44 |
| Dallas Daley LB #8 | 28 | |
| Max Mustell DB #36 | 15 | |
| Sacks | Max Mustell DB #36 | 2 |
| Jaylin Reese LB #45 | 1.5 | |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Max Mustell DB #36 | 1 |
| Blake Fletcher LB #6 | 1 | |
| Korey Johnson DB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.