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Wk 12 · 2026

Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential FLA by 12.7
SEC · 4-2

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start. Florida is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Vanderbilt: +2.7#61
Efficiency margin
Florida: +13.0#22
Vanderbilt: 31.5
Offense (pts/100)
Florida: 40.3
Vanderbilt: 19.8
Defense (pts/100)
Florida: 18.4
Vanderbilt: 65.0
Pace (plays/g)
Florida: 69.8
Vanderbilt: 5.36
Yards / play
Florida: 6.79
Vanderbilt: 5.55
Yards / play allowed
Florida: 5.64
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Vanderbilt: 24.0
Points / game
Florida: 41.7
Vanderbilt: 29.5
Points allowed
Florida: 29.0
Vanderbilt: 348
Yards / game
Florida: 474
Vanderbilt: 354
Yards allowed
Florida: 393
Vanderbilt: 214
Pass yds allowed
Florida: 269
Vanderbilt: 140
Rush yds allowed
Florida: 124
Vanderbilt: 1.67
Turnovers / game
Florida: 1.17
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Vanderbilt form

L 17-52vs MISSL 14-38at UGAL 15-21at AUBW 35-31vs NCSUW 35-26vs DEL
2026 season

Florida form

L 19-38vs SCL 17-45at MIZW 52-28vs MISSW 44-39at AUBW 52-3vs CAM
2026 season

Vanderbilt this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Florida this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentVanderbiltFlorida
Auburn
SEC
at L 15-21 previewat W 44-39 preview
Georgia
SEC
at L 14-38 previewN Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Ole Miss
SEC
vs L 17-52 previewvs W 52-28 preview
Kentucky
SEC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Florida leads 16–2 · Florida won the last one
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 17.8 points toward Florida
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20232023-10-07Vanderbilt 14 — 38 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20222022-11-19Florida 24 — 31 Vanderbiltat VANVanderbilt
20212021-10-09Vanderbilt 0 — 42 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20202020-11-21Florida 38 — 17 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20192019-11-09Vanderbilt 0 — 56 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20182018-10-13Florida 37 — 27 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20172017-09-30Vanderbilt 24 — 38 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20162016-10-01Florida 13 — 6 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20152015-11-07Vanderbilt 7 — 9 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20142014-11-08Florida 34 — 10 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20132013-11-09Vanderbilt 34 — 17 Floridaat FLAVanderbilt
20122012-10-13Florida 31 — 17 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20112011-11-05Vanderbilt 21 — 26 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20102010-11-06Florida 55 — 14 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20092009-11-07Vanderbilt 3 — 27 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20082008-11-08Florida 42 — 14 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida
20072007-11-03Vanderbilt 22 — 49 Floridaat FLAFlorida
20062006-11-04Florida 25 — 19 Vanderbiltat VANFlorida

Vanderbilt leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Curtis QB #263/98, 746 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Blaze Berlowitz QB #126/48, 368 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingSedrick Alexander RB #2845 CAR, 200 YDS, 4 TD
Makhilyn Young RB #2234 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Jared Curtis QB #241 CAR, 133 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill WR #028 REC, 474 YDS, 3 TD
Tristen Brown WR #59 REC, 130 YDS
Jayvontay Conner TE #811 REC, 126 YDS
Ja'Cory Thomas WR #66 REC, 78 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Heard S #840
Bryan Longwell LB #1131
Nick Rinaldi LB #2426
SacksNick Rinaldi LB #243.5
CJ Heard S #83
Issa Ouattara DL #52
InterceptionsMiles Capers EDGE #291
Bryce Cowan LB #221
Martel Hight CB #41

Florida leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAaron Philo QB #1284/121, 1114 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT
Tramell Jones Jr. QB #917/21, 212 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushingJadan Baugh RB #1395 CAR, 613 YDS, 11 TD
Duke Clark RB #2033 CAR, 260 YDS, 3 TD
Aaron Philo QB #1231 CAR, 72 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingDallas Wilson WR #618 REC, 302 YDS, 3 TD
Vernell Brown III WR #117 REC, 271 YDS, 2 TD
TJ Abrams WR #48 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD
Bailey Stockton WR #315 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMyles Graham LB #534
Aaron Chiles LB #822
Jayden Woods LB #021
SacksJayden Woods LB #04
Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL #993.5
Kamran James DL #242
InterceptionsDJ Coleman S #332
Cormani McClain CB #251
Dijon Johnson CB #271
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.