Wk 12 · 2026
San Diego State Aztecs at Boise State Broncos — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
· USA Net
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 41 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Pac-12 · 2-4
at
9:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential BOIS by 21.7
Pac-12 · 5-1
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Boise St is ranked #23 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
San Diego St form
L 14-66at ORSTW 31-29vs TXSTL 16-41at TOLL 13-26vs JMUL 10-28at UCLA
2026 season
Boise St form
W 38-31at FRESW 37-18vs USUW 32-7at WMUW 38-24vs SDAKW 38-20vs MEM
2026 season
San Diego St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Boise St this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | San Diego St | Boise St |
|---|---|---|
| Texas St Pac-12 | vs W 31-29 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Oregon St Pac-12 | at L 14-66 preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Fresno St Pac-12 | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at W 38-31 preview |
| Colorado St Pac-12 | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Washington St Pac-12 | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Utah State Pac-12 | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs W 37-18 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Boise St leads 6–5 · San Diego St won the last one
11 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.2 points toward Boise St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-15 | Boise St 7 — 17 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
| 2024 | 2024-11-01 | San Diego St 24 — 56 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2023 | 2023-09-22 | Boise St 34 — 31 San Diego St | at SDSU | Boise St |
| 2022 | 2022-09-30 | San Diego St 13 — 35 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2021 | 2021-11-26 | Boise St 16 — 27 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
| 2018 | 2018-10-06 | San Diego St 19 — 13 Boise St | at BOIS | San Diego St |
| 2017 | 2017-10-14 | Boise St 31 — 14 San Diego St | at SDSU | Boise St |
| 2014 | 2014-11-15 | San Diego St 29 — 38 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2013 | 2013-11-23 | Boise St 31 — 34 San Diego St | at SDSU | San Diego St |
| 2012 | 2012-11-03 | San Diego St 21 — 19 Boise St | at BOIS | San Diego St |
| 2011 | 2011-11-19 | Boise St 52 — 35 San Diego St | at SDSU | Boise St |
San Diego St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jayden Denegal QB #4 | 71/122, 709 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT |
| Draiden Trudeau QB #13 | 4/6, 53 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Javion Kinnard RB #21 | 56 CAR, 312 YDS, 1 TD |
| Josiah Lucas RB #23 | 34 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Lucky Sutton RB #7 | 45 CAR, 150 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Nathan Acevedo WR #13 | 16 REC, 177 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jacob Bostick WR #17 | 6 REC, 90 YDS | |
| Javion Kinnard RB #21 | 6 REC, 81 YDS | |
| Bert Emanuel Jr. WR #5 | 6 REC, 80 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Sione Hala LB #0 | 53 |
| Jelani McLaughlin S #20 | 37 | |
| Josh Hunter S #29 | 36 | |
| Sacks | Djibril Rahman LB #45 | 3 |
| Alijah Lash LB #41 | 2 | |
| Sione Hala LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Mike Lindsay CB #27 | 2 |
| Kai Wallin LB #18 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Green S #14 | 1 |
Boise St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Maddux Madsen QB #4 | 87/132, 1058 YDS, 11 TD |
| Rushing | Dylan Riley RB #0 | 108 CAR, 685 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sire Gaines RB #26 | 45 CAR, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Maddux Madsen QB #4 | 24 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Rasean Jones WR #19 | 23 REC, 359 YDS, 1 TD |
| Matt Wagner TE #88 | 17 REC, 196 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Akeem Wright WR #5 | 9 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Ben Ford WR #82 | 8 REC, 92 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Boen Phelps LB #1 | 29 |
| Travis Anderson DB #4 | 24 | |
| Derek Ganter Jr. DB #9 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Jayden Virgin-Morgan LB #5 | 2 |
| Max Stege LB #95 | 1.5 | |
| Mikaio Edward DL #97 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Travis Anderson DB #4 | 3 |
| Jake Ripp LB #43 | 1 | |
| Roman Tillmon DB #22 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.