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Wk 9 · 2026

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 19 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 4-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential IOWA by 8.8
Big Ten · 5-1

What is at stake

Heartland Trophy. A bronze bull, two of the most stubbornly physical programs in the Big Ten, and a game that is almost always uglier and closer than the point spread. They play for the Heartland Trophy (bronze bull). A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Iowa is ranked #20 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Wisconsin: +9.9#31
Efficiency margin
Iowa: +16.3#11
Wisconsin: 32.7
Offense (pts/100)
Iowa: 37.5
Wisconsin: 13.8
Defense (pts/100)
Iowa: 12.1
Wisconsin: 61.0
Pace (plays/g)
Iowa: 61.7
Wisconsin: 6.22
Yards / play
Iowa: 6.54
Wisconsin: 4.09
Yards / play allowed
Iowa: 4.58
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Wisconsin: 31.6
Points / game
Iowa: 31.0
Wisconsin: 16.6
Points allowed
Iowa: 14.5
Wisconsin: 379
Yards / game
Iowa: 403
Wisconsin: 267
Yards allowed
Iowa: 293
Wisconsin: 153
Pass yds allowed
Iowa: 209
Wisconsin: 115
Rush yds allowed
Iowa: 85
Wisconsin: 1.20
Turnovers / game
Iowa: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Wisconsin form

W 31-3vs MSUW 24-20at PSUW 54-10vs EMUW 36-9vs WIUL 13-41at ND
2026 season

Iowa form

W 41-24at WASHL 14-31vs OSUW 20-19at MICHW 55-0vs UNIW 16-13vs ISU
2026 season

Wisconsin this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Iowa this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentWisconsinIowa
Purdue
Big Ten
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Minnesota
Big Ten
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Wisconsin leads 10–8 · Iowa has won the last 4
18 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.1 points toward Iowa
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-11Iowa 37 — 0 Wisconsinat WISIowa
20242024-11-02Wisconsin 10 — 42 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20232023-10-14Iowa 15 — 6 Wisconsinat WISIowa
20222022-11-12Wisconsin 10 — 24 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20212021-10-30Iowa 7 — 27 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20202020-12-12Wisconsin 7 — 28 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20192019-11-09Iowa 22 — 24 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20182018-09-22Wisconsin 28 — 17 Iowaat IOWAWisconsin
20172017-11-11Iowa 14 — 38 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20162016-10-22Wisconsin 17 — 9 Iowaat IOWAWisconsin
20152015-10-03Iowa 10 — 6 Wisconsinat WISIowa
20142014-11-22Wisconsin 26 — 24 Iowaat IOWAWisconsin
20132013-11-02Wisconsin 28 — 9 Iowaat IOWAWisconsin
20102010-10-23Wisconsin 31 — 30 Iowaat IOWAWisconsin
20092009-10-17Iowa 20 — 10 Wisconsinat WISIowa
20082008-10-18Wisconsin 16 — 38 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20072007-09-22Iowa 13 — 17 Wisconsinat WISWisconsin
20062006-11-11Wisconsin 24 — 21 Iowaat IOWAWisconsin

Wisconsin leaders 2026 regular season

PassingColton Joseph QB #181/143, 1132 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT
RushingColton Joseph QB #151 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD
Darrion Dupree RB #643 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
Abu Sama III RB #328 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingTyrell Henry WR #026 REC, 339 YDS, 1 TD
Jacob Harris TE #8913 REC, 238 YDS, 3 TD
Chris Brooks Jr. WR #211 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD
Malachi Coleman WR #45 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesCooper Catalano LB #4445
Mason Posa LB #840
Matthew Jung S #2932
SacksSebastian Cheeks LB #152.5
Hammond Russell IV DL #911.5
Charles Perkins DL #301
InterceptionsCharles Perkins DL #301
Mason Posa LB #81
Matthew Jung S #291

Iowa leaders 2026 regular season

PassingHank Brown QB #978/124, 832 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Jeremy Hecklinski QB #1032/51, 410 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingKamari Moulton RB #2876 CAR, 519 YDS, 4 TD
Xavier Williams RB #2620 CAR, 170 YDS, 3 TD
Braeden Jackson RB #2219 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingTony Diaz WR #1428 REC, 329 YDS, 1 TD
Reece Vander Zee WR #216 REC, 247 YDS, 3 TD
DJ Vonnahme TE #8118 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD
Addison Ostrenga TE #878 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesCam Buffington LB #3352
Jayden Montgomery LB #3635
Zach Lutmer DB #634
SacksJoseph Anderson DE #843
Preston Ries LB #462.5
Bryce Hawthorne DL #962.5
InterceptionsDeshaun Lee DB #82
Rashad Godfrey Jr. DB #71
Jacob Wallace DB #111
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.