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Wk 12 · 2026

Central Michigan Chippewas at Buffalo Bulls — Wed, Nov 18

Wed, Nov 18 · Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, NY

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 37 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CMU by 0.1
MAC · 3-3

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

C Michigan: -13.0#115
Efficiency margin
Buffalo: -15.5#124
C Michigan: 22.6
Offense (pts/100)
Buffalo: 22.8
C Michigan: 26.6
Defense (pts/100)
Buffalo: 29.3
C Michigan: 57.7
Pace (plays/g)
Buffalo: 73.8
C Michigan: 4.94
Yards / play
Buffalo: 4.33
C Michigan: 5.69
Yards / play allowed
Buffalo: 5.99
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

C Michigan: 17.0
Points / game
Buffalo: 20.8
C Michigan: 26.3
Points allowed
Buffalo: 26.8
C Michigan: 285
Yards / game
Buffalo: 320
C Michigan: 373
Yards allowed
Buffalo: 389
C Michigan: 195
Pass yds allowed
Buffalo: 240
C Michigan: 178
Rush yds allowed
Buffalo: 150
C Michigan: 1.67
Turnovers / game
Buffalo: 1.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

C Michigan form

L 14-31at OHIOW 41-17vs AKRL 3-52at MIAW 24-10vs WYOW 13-10vs COLG
2026 season

Buffalo form

W 23-8at TOLL 17-20vs WMUW 31-28vs RMUL 13-55at PSUL 20-33at FIU
2026 season

C Michigan this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

Buffalo this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentC MichiganBuffalo
Akron
MAC
vs W 41-17 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
W Michigan
MAC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs L 17-20 preview
Miami OH
MAC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Ball State
MAC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, C Michigan leads 7–3 · C Michigan won the last one
10 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.5 points toward C Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-12Buffalo 19 — 38 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20232023-10-07C Michigan 13 — 37 Buffaloat BUFBuffalo
20222022-11-09Buffalo 27 — 31 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20192019-10-26C Michigan 20 — 43 Buffaloat BUFBuffalo
20182018-10-06Buffalo 34 — 24 C Michiganat CMUBuffalo
20152015-10-17Buffalo 14 — 51 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20142014-10-25C Michigan 20 — 14 Buffaloat BUFC Michigan
20092009-10-03C Michigan 20 — 13 Buffaloat BUFC Michigan
20082008-09-27Buffalo 25 — 27 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20062006-11-24C Michigan 55 — 28 Buffaloat BUFC Michigan

C Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAngel Flores QB #726/47, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Jadyn Glasser QB #519/32, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingAngel Flores QB #781 CAR, 474 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Clerveaux RB #3137 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Vaughn Blue RB #2428 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis WR #207 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Shawn Foster II WR #165 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Ruffin Jr. WR #99 REC, 57 YDS
Vaughn Blue RB #244 REC, 28 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier White LB #1140
Mayson Hitchens LB #3533
Brett McCalla LB #4033
SacksJaxon Cherry DL #923
Max Van Fleet DL #971
Nathan VanTimmeren DL #481
InterceptionsJustin Taylor DB #142
Mayson Hitchens LB #351
Darrell Bryant Jr. DB #191

Buffalo leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJason Wright QB #749/98, 555 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Elijah Holmes QB #1635/61, 250 YDS, 3 TD
RushingMessiah Burch RB #473 CAR, 352 YDS, 1 TD
Nino Hill RB #041 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD
James McNeil Jr. RB #2423 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingChance Morrow WR #632 REC, 397 YDS, 6 TD
Clint Walker TE #511 REC, 82 YDS
Patrick Clacks III WR #34 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
Jaylen Andrews WR #210 REC, 77 YDS
Defense
TacklesSaVeon Brown LB #138
Miles Greer S #631
John Keough S #730
SacksLogan Goodwin EDGE #172
SaVeon Brown LB #11
Stevie Bracey LB #21
InterceptionsSaVeon Brown LB #11
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.