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Wk 12 · 2026

Maryland Terrapins at USC Trojans — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 2-4
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential USC by 15.3
Big Ten · 6-1

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. USC is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Maryland: -0.9#73
Efficiency margin
USC: +12.0#24
Maryland: 30.7
Offense (pts/100)
USC: 38.9
Maryland: 22.7
Defense (pts/100)
USC: 17.9
Maryland: 68.7
Pace (plays/g)
USC: 69.3
Maryland: 5.50
Yards / play
USC: 6.67
Maryland: 5.53
Yards / play allowed
USC: 5.95
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Maryland: 28.0
Points / game
USC: 36.4
Maryland: 32.7
Points allowed
USC: 25.1
Maryland: 378
Yards / game
USC: 462
Maryland: 354
Yards allowed
USC: 350
Maryland: 206
Pass yds allowed
USC: 239
Maryland: 148
Rush yds allowed
USC: 111
Maryland: 1.17
Turnovers / game
USC: 0.86
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Maryland form

L 16-45at OSUL 23-48at NEBL 3-54vs UCLAL 26-35vs VTW 38-14at CONN
2026 season

USC form

W 31-23at PSUW 25-21vs WASHL 27-41vs OREW 42-35at RUTGW 49-30vs UL
2026 season

Maryland this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

USC this season

Straight up6-1 · 86% (7 games)
Against the spread2-5 · 29% (7 games)
Over / under4-3 · 57% (7 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentMarylandUSC
UCLA
Big Ten
vs L 3-54 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Ohio State
Big Ten
at L 16-45 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Rutgers
Big Ten
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat W 42-35 preview
Wisconsin
Big Ten
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Penn State
Big Ten
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat W 31-23 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Maryland leads 1–0 · Maryland won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 1.0 points toward Maryland
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-10-19USC 28 — 29 Marylandat MDMaryland

Maryland leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalik Washington QB #7124/198, 1288 YDS, 7 TD, 6 INT
Cardell Williams QB #66/7, 63 YDS, 1 TD
RushingIverson Howard RB #2452 CAR, 211 YDS, 4 TD
DeJuan Williams RB #013 CAR, 194 YDS, 3 TD
Harry Dalton III RB #2530 CAR, 113 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingChris Durr Jr. WR #1342 REC, 461 YDS, 4 TD
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding WR #118 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD
Kaleb Webb WR #217 REC, 235 YDS
Dorian Fleming TE #918 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesCarlton Smith LB #3235
Daniel Wingate LB #130
Trey Reddick LB #323
SacksDerrick LeBlanc DL #882.5
DD Holmes LB #562.5
Eyan Thomas DL #982
InterceptionsMessiah Delhomme DB #332
Jamare Glasker DB #41
Jayden Shipps DB #121

USC leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Maiava QB #14131/191, 1744 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT
Jonas Williams QB #1512/14, 126 YDS, 1 INT
RushingKing Miller RB #895 CAR, 493 YDS, 3 TD
Waymond Jordan RB #257 CAR, 265 YDS, 2 TD
Shahn Alston RB #2217 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKayden Dixon-Wyatt WR #1725 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD
Zacharyus Williams WR #014 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD
Trent Mosley WR #413 REC, 255 YDS, 4 TD
Mark Bowman TE #1921 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesChristian Pierce S #635
Deven Bryant LB #1733
Luke Wafle DE #9422
SacksKennedy Urlacher S #92
Alex Graham CB #72
Jadyn Ramos DE #952
InterceptionsProphet Brown CB #162
Christian Pierce S #61
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.