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Wk 3 · 2026

USC Trojans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ · CBS FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 6-1
42
at
3:30pET
USC -21 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened +24.5 · 3.5 toward RUTG
Ratings differential USC by 13.3
Big Ten · 1-4
35

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. USC is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

USC: +12.0#24
Efficiency margin
Rutgers: -3.7#86
USC: 38.9
Offense (pts/100)
Rutgers: 31.8
USC: 17.9
Defense (pts/100)
Rutgers: 26.6
USC: 69.3
Pace (plays/g)
Rutgers: 65.4
USC: 6.67
Yards / play
Rutgers: 6.05
USC: 5.95
Yards / play allowed
Rutgers: 6.72
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

USC: 36.4
Points / game
Rutgers: 30.0
USC: 25.1
Points allowed
Rutgers: 32.2
USC: 462
Yards / game
Rutgers: 396
USC: 350
Yards allowed
Rutgers: 407
USC: 239
Pass yds allowed
Rutgers: 208
USC: 111
Rush yds allowed
Rutgers: 199
USC: 0.86
Turnovers / game
Rutgers: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

USC form

W 31-23at PSUW 25-21vs WASHL 27-41vs OREW 42-35at RUTGW 49-30vs UL
2026 season

Rutgers form

L 15-47vs IUW 58-7vs HOWL 35-42vs USCL 21-28at BCL 21-37vs MASS
2026 season

USC this season

Straight up6-1 · 86% (7 games)
Against the spread2-5 · 29% (7 games)
Over / under4-3 · 57% (7 games)

Rutgers this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentUSCRutgers
Penn State
Big Ten
at W 31-23 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Wisconsin
Big Ten
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Indiana
Big Ten
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs L 15-47 preview
Maryland
Big Ten
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, USC leads 2–0 · USC has won the last 2
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 14.5 points toward USC
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-19USC 42 — 35 Rutgersat RUTGUSC
20242024-10-25Rutgers 20 — 42 USCat USCUSC

USC leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Maiava QB #14131/191, 1744 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT
Jonas Williams QB #1512/14, 126 YDS, 1 INT
RushingKing Miller RB #895 CAR, 493 YDS, 3 TD
Waymond Jordan RB #257 CAR, 265 YDS, 2 TD
Shahn Alston RB #2217 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKayden Dixon-Wyatt WR #1725 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD
Zacharyus Williams WR #014 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD
Trent Mosley WR #413 REC, 255 YDS, 4 TD
Mark Bowman TE #1921 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesChristian Pierce S #635
Deven Bryant LB #1733
Luke Wafle DE #9422
SacksKennedy Urlacher S #92
Alex Graham CB #72
Jadyn Ramos DE #952
InterceptionsProphet Brown CB #162
Christian Pierce S #61

Rutgers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDylan Lonergan QB #1251/92, 775 YDS, 7 TD, 5 INT
AJ Surace QB #1033/53, 475 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
RushingAntwan Raymond RB #389 CAR, 469 YDS, 4 TD
Clay Thevenin RB #942 CAR, 180 YDS, 3 TD
Aiden Gibson RB #3211 CAR, 35 YDS
ReceivingKJ Duff WR #833 REC, 628 YDS, 7 TD
Ben Black III WR #29 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD
Jourdin Houston WR #415 REC, 169 YDS
Antwan Raymond RB #39 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesChris Joines DB #2025
Bradlee Jones DB #525
Jesse Ofurie DB #1623
SacksMoses Walker LB #21.5
Rondo Porter DL #991.5
Zaire Angoy DL #551
InterceptionsMoses Walker LB #22
Bradlee Jones DB #52
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.